#比特币价格预测 Seeing this wave of precious metals market, it reminded me of several rotations last year. Short sellers squeezed and pushed up silver, palladium, and other commodities, which looked very lively, but such rallies are often hard to sustain—once the pressure is released, the prices tend to fall back quickly.

The key is to understand the flow of funds. When precious metals start to turn around, those chasing the high won't stay idle; they will inevitably look for new targets. Assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum happen to become the next targets. But what I want to remind everyone is not to be blinded by these rotation opportunities.

The truly prudent approach is to first ask yourself three questions: Is my position reasonable? Can I withstand this volatility? Is my goal short-term arbitrage or long-term holding? If you haven't thought it through, blindly following the rotation can easily lead to buying at high points. I've seen too many people lose money because they chased the funding hot spots and ended up at the wrong timing.

In the long run, the core of asset allocation is never about predicting where the next hot spot will be, but about maintaining enough cash reserves and psychological resilience based on your own risk tolerance. Only then, when opportunities truly arise, will you have the capacity to seize them.