Some analysts predict that the crypto market in 2026 will experience intense fluctuations characterized by "joy - frustration - rebound." The logic behind this judgment is worth noting—while the S&P 500 may surge toward 7,700 points, there could be a 15%-20% correction pressure mid-year, and this volatility pattern will be even more pronounced in crypto assets.

Bitcoin's breakthrough to $100,000 has almost become a consensus, but this is not the end. More caution is warranted because, during a US stock market correction, the crypto market often reacts more sensitively and experiences deeper declines. Retail investors are easily fooled by the general upward trend at the beginning of the year, causing them to miss the real opportunities mid-year—that is, the rebounds after significant corrections.

Market breadth is a key indicator of risk asset sentiment. When precious metals and cryptocurrencies both strengthen simultaneously, it indicates that funds are flowing heavily into high-risk assets, but this enthusiasm is often unsustainable. Institutions typically build positions through volatility during this process, while retail investors are prone to getting caught at high levels.

From another perspective, 2026 resembles a "meat grinder"—some will be harvested, while others will successfully catch the bottom. The key is to think in reverse: the greater the increase, the more cautious you should be; the deeper the decline, the more you should observe. Be willing to position yourself when others panic sell, but only if you have already identified signals of market breadth, rather than blindly following the crowd. The real opportunity for wealth often lies in those moments of greatest despair.