Tonight's order planning is for 10,000U, and the core issue is actually very simple:

Data can indicate a "possible direction," but whether the market confirms it—this is the key factor in deciding whether to chase.

After the release of the below-expected ADP data, the market's sensitivity to rate cuts will significantly increase. From a cryptocurrency price perspective, this macro background is relatively favorable for BTC and ETH. However, good news doesn't mean you can blindly chase longs; the rhythm and execution are the real dividing lines between profit and loss.

How should we view tonight's market?

**First, focus on whether BTC can hold the key level**

In the short term, BTC's structure is very important. As long as it doesn't break below this level, a pullback with no increased volume is not a sign of a trend reversal but a normal shakeout. Many people get shaken out during such pullbacks, but in fact, this is a good opportunity to get in.

**Second, only take "confirmation" trades**

Don't rush in as soon as the data is released. The correct process should be: pull back → see if it can stabilize → then increase volume and strengthen upward movement. Only after these three steps are completed and the signals are clear should you act, which is the safest approach.

**Position control is the life-and-death line**

Tonight's volatility will definitely be larger than usual. In such a market, don't go all-in at once. The proper approach is to take the first position as a test, to feel out the market rhythm. If the direction is correct, gradually increase your position. If the first trade results in a loss, cut your losses immediately and exit. In volatile markets, one mistake can hurt much more than usual.

**Target setting is straightforward**

It's not about catching the highest point or chasing as many trades as possible. The most realistic goal during tonight's market is to find a solid main wave and take profits before exiting. When you get one good trade right, it can yield several times the profit of multiple smaller trades.

**Last but very important**

Tonight is not suitable for frequent entries and exits. Instead of constantly trading, wait for a truly clear opportunity, and once you find it, go all in on one trade. This approach is often more efficient.

I will continue to monitor the market, and once clear signals of rhythm appear, there will be opportunities. Those who truly understand trading should be able to grasp how to implement this approach in practice.