Tesla's Unsupervised FSD Bet Skyrockets After AI Chief's Robotaxi Demo

Tesla's prediction market for autonomous full self-driving technology is witnessing explosive momentum. On December 15, 2025, odds for the company's unsupervised FSD launch before year-end catapulted from just 7% to 54%—a staggering surge triggered by a single catalyst: Tesla AI chief Ashok Elluswamy's video showcase of a driverless Model Y Robotaxi operating autonomously in Austin, Texas.

The market reaction speaks volumes. What started as a pessimistic bet just 24 hours earlier has become a legitimate probability play, drawing serious capital from traders betting on Tesla's self-driving breakthrough. The demonstration by Ashok Elluswamy appears to have shifted conviction fundamentally.

One trader's remarkable turnaround illustrates the shift perfectly. A user named sanqo, who had been accumulating 'Yes' positions for three months while the market remained skeptical, watched their conviction rewarded dramatically. Their floating gains reached 79%—a vivid reminder of how transformative executive communications can reshape market sentiment in the crypto and tech prediction sphere.

The velocity of this repricing signals genuine belief that Tesla's unsupervised autonomous driving capability could materialize before the calendar flips. Whether Ashok Elluswamy's demonstration proves to be the inflection point for broader FSD deployment remains to be seen, but market participants have clearly recalibrated their timeline expectations following the Austin Robotaxi footage.