So Good Judgement's superforecasters nailed 6 out of 9 predictions for 2025. Not perfect, but that's actually solid when you're forecasting geopolitical volatility and macroeconomic shifts. They've been tracking everything from the Ukraine conflict dynamics to global GDP expansion scenarios—the kind of macro backdrop that typically moves markets, including crypto.



What's interesting? Their hit rate suggests we should pay attention to what else they're flagging for the year ahead. Economic growth projections, geopolitical developments, these aren't just headline noise. They directly influence risk sentiment and capital allocation flows across digital assets.

The World Ahead breakdown covers their full 2025 outlook. If you're positioning your portfolio or trying to understand what macro forces might be at play, knowing where these forecasters see pressure points matters. Whether it's GDP momentum or unexpected geopolitical shifts, the macro environment remains the silent variable that often catches traders off guard.
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DefiPlaybookvip
· 01-07 11:18
According to data, a 6/9 hit rate is already excellent in the field of macro forecasting... But what’s more worth noting is whether these people will stumble again later? Based on on-chain data, the market’s pricing of geopolitical risks often lags by 6-8 weeks. From three dimensions—volatility, capital flows, and risk premiums—this time the pressure points they identified will indeed impact short-term crypto market allocations.
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MidnightMEVeatervip
· 01-06 17:24
六成命中率?不是吹,这帮人就靠宏观预测吃饭的,说句实话能这样已经很吓人了。我更关心的是剩下那三个翻车的原因——总是有人想象不到的变量把所有人都当傻子。
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IntrovertMetaversevip
· 01-04 13:00
A 60% hit rate... These guys are really quite accurate. Macro predictions are like that; hitting half the time is already good. By the way, what are they optimistic about next? We should keep an eye on the geopolitical side.
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TokenTaxonomistvip
· 01-04 12:45
67% accuracy on macro calls? statistically speaking that's barely above a broken clock in volatile markets. let me pull up my spreadsheet—curious if they weighted geopolitical tail risks properly or just got lucky on the ukraine positioning. crypto moves on sentiment, not forecasts, so this matters way less than ppl think tbh
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GovernancePretendervip
· 01-04 12:38
6/9... Honestly, considering the hit rate, it's not bad in the prediction world. But I still want to see what those 3 pitfalls they stepped into are. Often, the things that go wrong can teach you more. These people are indeed watching things that can shake the market. Ultimately, the ups and downs in crypto still depend on the macroeconomic outlook. There's no way around it.
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ApeShotFirstvip
· 01-04 12:36
Whoa, 6/9 hit rate? This guy's predictions are too accurate. I need to quickly see what else they are optimistic about.
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