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#预测市场 The probability of Waller becoming Federal Reserve Chair on Polymarket is only 14%? That's an interesting number... Haskett has skyrocketed to 56%, which indicates that the market doesn't really favor Waller. Players in the prediction market clearly trust Haskett more.
Major policy events like this are worth paying attention to, as the Fed Chair appointment directly impacts the subsequent interest rate hike cycle and liquidity release. For the crypto world, it's a direct indicator of good or bad news. Honestly, this kind of real-money prediction market data is much more reliable than some KOL's blabber.
However, to be honest, the speed of odds changes in long-term policy betting isn't as exciting as meme coins, but it's still useful as a reference for information sensitivity. I feel there's still room for growth in prediction market gameplay. When a more aggressive crypto prediction platform appears one day, that'll be the real FOMO moment. Now, it's all about who can seize this opportunity.