Teaching you how to understand why the US suddenly raided Venezuela!

☞[Ws Trading Room Special]☜

US Raid on Venezuela: The Geopolitical Game Behind the Capture of Maduro and the Oil Battle

1. The core of the event: US military raid to arrest Maduro, scale of the operation revealed

On January 3, 2026, local time, the US military launched a military operation codenamed "Absolute Resolve" under the guise of "fighting drug crimes," deploying over 150 aircraft (including bombers, fighters, etc.) from 20 US military bases in the Western Hemisphere. The raid targeted Caracas, Venezuela's capital, capturing President Maduro and his wife, with plans to send them to New York for trial by the evening of January 5 at the latest. It has been disclosed that this operation was jointly planned by the CIA and the US military, which had been monitoring Maduro's whereabouts through informants and stealth drones since August 2025. The operation plan was completed in November, with firefights throughout the process. One US helicopter was hit but successfully returned.

2. Controversy focus: International law questioned, US internal divisions

1. On the international law level: Experts point out that the US military action may violate Article 2, Paragraph 4 of the UN Charter (which prohibits the use of force without Security Council authorization). The US justifies the action as "fighting drug traffickers" and "self-defense," but lacks conclusive evidence that Maduro directly commands drug crimes, and cannot prove that Venezuela poses a direct military threat to the US. Due to the US's veto power in the Security Council, it is likely to avoid international sanctions, but it may set a bad precedent for other countries to justify unilateral military actions.

2. Domestic US controversy: Democratic lawmakers criticized the government’s previous classified briefings as "misleading Congress" (which once claimed there was "no regime change plan"), demanding additional briefings and restrictions on subsequent military actions. Some Republicans support the operation but are also concerned about "ground troop involvement" and the risks of long-term deployment, with protests planned in various places opposing the use of force.

3. Core motivation: Targeting Venezuela’s top global oil resources

Venezuela holds 3,030 billion barrels of crude oil reserves (20% of the global total, ranking first in the world). Its heavy, sulfur-rich crude is compatible with most US refineries. However, due to the situation, current daily production is only 900,000 barrels (Chevron contributes about one-third and is the only major US oil company operating in Venezuela). Trump explicitly stated plans to push US major oil companies into Venezuela, investing in repairing aging oil facilities (Venezuela’s state oil company PDVSA estimates a need for $58 billion to update pipelines that haven't been replaced in 50 years), and "manage" Venezuela’s oil resources. However, oil prices are currently below $60 per barrel, and the history of US companies (such as ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips) withdrawing after losing assets due to nationalization in 2007 makes most US firms cautious about investing. Experts predict that restoring Venezuela’s oil production to peak levels will take 5-10 years.

4. Key points to watch in the coming weeks

1. Whether Venezuela’s military, police, and key institutions can maintain unified command, and whether the interim president (designated by the Supreme Court as Vice President Rodriguez) can stabilize domestic order;

2. What legal and political frameworks the US will use to continue "intervention," and whether this will trigger regional confrontation or escalation of sanctions;

3. Whether oil exports, port shipping, and payment settlements can resume minimal operations—this will directly determine Venezuela’s material supply, fiscal cash flow, and social stability limits. #委内瑞拉局势 #特朗普 #非农就业数据 #委内瑞拉向中方通报 $BTC
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