XRP ETF attracts over $1 billion in funds; can reduced supply trigger a price breakout?

Question

【Crypto World】The performance of the XRP ETF is quite impressive. In less than two months, this thing has absorbed over $1 billion, locking in approximately 7.46 billion XRP tokens. Let’s look at it from a different perspective — this is equivalent to about 1% of the circulating supply being “frozen.”

What happens if this pace continues? Analysts predict that by mid-2026, the size of the XRP ETF could expand to $5 billion, potentially removing nearly 2.6 billion XRP from market circulation.

What does this mean? Selling pressure will be significantly alleviated. Especially considering that since 2025, the XRP balance on exchanges has already dropped by 58% — indicating that more people are hoarding coins rather than dumping them. The combination of these two factors suggests that market sentiment is changing.

On the price side? Recently, XRP has been hovering below $2, but here’s a detail worth noting: XRP has already stabilized above the $1.88 support level. If this line holds, the next target is the resistance at $2.30. From a technical perspective, the rebound foundation still looks solid.

GovernancePretender · Accepted Answer

Less than two months to raise 1 billion? That speed is indeed impressive.

Wait, 2.6 billion XRP is locked? Then the exchange's dumping sounds should be less, right?

Can we really hold the 1.88 line? Only then can we have something to talk about.

MetaReckt · Answer

$1 billion absorbed in just two months, this speed is incredible... The more people hoard coins, the less selling pressure there is. Let's see if 1.88 can hold.

SocialAnxietyStaker · Answer

In less than two months, raising 1 billion, this力度确实顶. If it continues at this pace until mid-2026, half of XRP will be locked? Then the selling pressure will indeed subside.

Retail investors hold 58% of the coins on exchanges, this signal is a bit clear, someone is betting on a rebound.

Holding the 1.88 level is good news, otherwise it might drop again.

Can freezing 2.6 billion XRP really boost the market? Let's see if it can rise back to $2 this month; it's a bit early to boast now.

This wave of ETFs has indeed changed the rules of the game on the supply side, just waiting to see if it will truly move the price later.

Layer2Observer · Answer

Let me take a look at this data... 746 million tokens locked up only account for 1% of the circulating supply. To be honest, this ratio isn't as exaggerated as I thought. Will it inflate to 2.6 billion by 2026? That would be a four or five times difference, which does make sense logically.

A 58% drop in exchange reserves is the real signal, indicating a genuine shift in sentiment. But the question is—how long can this token hoarding trend last? Usually, such emotional cycles are very short.

The support level at $1.88 held, but technically, whether this position can become a true bottom support depends on subsequent volume confirmation. It's a bit early to draw conclusions now.

MEVHunterNoLoss · Answer

$1 billion was absorbed in just two months, this speed is really incredible, liquidity is being locked up

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260 million tokens disappeared from the market? That definitely reduces selling pressure, but the premise is to believe that the scale can truly reach 5 billion by 2026

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A 58% drop in exchange reserves, this is the key, indicating that people are really accumulating rather than selling off

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Staying above $1.88 is enough, don’t keep fixating on $2, that thing is虚的

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The logic sounds good, but I’ve heard too many stories about XRP over the past few years, so let’s wait for a breakout before making any moves

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Reduced supply + institutional entry, feels like the routine is a bit old

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It sounds nice, but it’s basically just trying to push the price up so retail investors get trapped, I’ll just watch

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If this wave can truly reach 5 billion, the price shouldn’t break $5, or it would be a disservice to this influx

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ETFs attract money quickly, but can they hold it? That’s the real question

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1% of circulating supply frozen, doesn’t sound like much, need to keep adding more to the position

PumpDoctrine · Answer

This time, the supply is really shrinking, but I am more concerned about whether large investors will dump and buy back later. It feels like this wave depends on the trend in the first half of 2026.

Only if the 1.88 line holds can we speak; anything said now is too early.

Locking 2.6 billion tokens is indeed impressive, but I don't know if a black swan event will break this situation later.

The 58% drop in XRP on exchanges is a bit shocking, but it might just be waiting for the main upward wave.

Reduced supply ≠ price increase. This tactic has been seen many times in history, and it still depends on the actual demand from institutions.

XRP ETF attracts over $1 billion in funds; can reduced supply trigger a price breakout?

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