The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently facing significant pressure. The current quote is 98.18, down 9.4% year-to-date, marking the largest decline in nearly eight years. From the daily chart, it has broken below the support level of 98.25, and the RSI indicator has fallen below the midline, indicating a clear lack of momentum among bulls. Although there has been a slight rebound on the 4-hour chart, the candlestick bodies are small, and the rebound strength is quite limited. Resistance is at the 98.38-98.76 range, which is a tough barrier to break.



From a macro perspective, bearish factors are accumulating. The Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle has already begun, and market expectations of a possible shift in the Fed Chair's stance have led to at least two rate cuts being priced in this year. This provides little support for the dollar—who would chase a currency that is expected to depreciate? The US fiscal deficit continues to worsen, and concerns over the independence of the central bank have not dissipated. All these factors are adding to the reasons to short the dollar. In the short term, no strong positive news has emerged to change this pattern.

If you want to go long on the dollar, there are quite a few tools available. Forex spot platforms, dollar index futures, and related ETF products (such as UUP) all have good liquidity. But there's an old saying: the higher the leverage, the higher the risk—under these circumstances, it's better to exercise restraint, avoid chasing leverage, or you could face quick losses.
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IfIWereOnChainvip
· 6h ago
The US dollar really can't hold up this time. Who can withstand a 9.4% decline? There's no hope once the rate cut starts. --- DXY breaking below 98.25 means there's no support at all. The bears are too fierce this time; don't expect a rebound to save the day. --- Buying US dollars now? Are you crazy? With such a deficit, dare to chase? --- UUP has good liquidity, but never leverage it. You could really lose everything. --- When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the dollar will have to kneel. This logic is crystal clear. Who would be foolish enough to still be bullish now? --- The 98.38-98.76 level is unbreakable; the bears are too strong, and the technicals are already dead. --- It's right to exercise restraint. Adding leverage at this time is just asking for death. I've seen too many blow-ups. --- With so many negative factors stacked up, real positive news is nowhere to be seen. In the short term, the dollar shouldn't expect to turn around.
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MissedAirdropBrovip
· 6h ago
The US dollar is really dying, and this decline is incredible. It’s heartbreaking to watch. As soon as the rate cut starts, the dollar is out of the game. Who the hell still dares to buy the dip? Don’t be fooled by UUP. Currently, going long on the dollar is purely a gambler’s mentality. The macro environment is so bad that a rebound is just an opportunity for you to escape. Dollar depreciation is inevitable sooner or later. Don’t tell me that 98.76 can rebound. Leverage can really bankrupt people. Watching others make money is the most painful. With such a serious fiscal deficit, even the Federal Reserve can’t save it. Anyone still daring to go long at 98.18 truly has admirable courage.
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DeFiVeteranvip
· 6h ago
The recent decline of the US dollar is indeed not over; once interest rate cuts begin, the dollar is out of the game. Instead of chasing highs, it's better to wait for a pullback. Leverage is really something you shouldn't be greedy for.
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WhaleWatchervip
· 6h ago
The US dollar is now being aggressively shorted. Honestly, who still dares to take this position... --- As soon as the rate cut wave arrives, the dollar is doomed. This wave is indeed hard to rebound from; the 98.76 level might be a long wait. --- Leverage traders have definitely been hurt recently. Restraint is really not a bad thing; no one wants to be happy bankrupt. --- Fiscal deficit + rate cuts + issues with the central bank's independence—this path for the dollar is getting a bit narrow. --- An 9.4% decline, the biggest in eight years. Are the shorts fully fed, or do they still want to continue... --- I took a look at UUP; liquidity is okay, but buying more dollars in this pattern is going against the trend. You need a strong mindset. --- The RSI is below the midline, yet they still want a rebound. I think this rebound is just a trap.
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GweiTooHighvip
· 6h ago
When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, the dollar gets hit, and this logic really makes sense. A 9.4% drop... Wow, who would still dare to take this position?
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NFTRegrettervip
· 6h ago
The Federal Reserve has already started cutting interest rates, and you still want more US dollars? That's just throwing a tantrum. Short-term bearishness is the right path.
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ResearchChadButBrokevip
· 6h ago
The recent drop in the US dollar is quite fierce, it couldn't even hold at 98. Really need to reflect on my long positions. With interest rate cuts coming, who would still foolishly buy the dollar? That logic doesn't hold up. Leverage is like playing Russian roulette with death; I've seen through it. UUP liquidity is decent, but entering now feels like walking into a knife. RSI has fallen below the midline; can we trust this rebound? Be careful of getting cut. The Fed's recent actions have pushed the dollar to the limit, and the deficit problem hasn't been solved—it's just adding insult to injury. Breaking through 98.76? Let's see if we can get past this ghostly barrier first. I don't believe this rally can go so smoothly. In the short term, there doesn't seem to be any solid positive news to save the dollar. The short-sellers should be laughing.
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