#2026年美国股市展望 $SOL $XRP $ETH

Many people entering the contract market share a common misconception—if you can identify the right direction of price movement, making money is a matter of riding the wave.

But speaking this out, it’s doomed to lose.

I was the first to fall for this trap. During the half-year I was involved in trading contracts, I lost 800,000 directly, and my account was completely wiped out. Ironically, when I reviewed those settlement slips, I realized that I had correctly predicted the directions. But in the end? I didn’t make a single cent, and instead got swept clean.

The problem isn’t the market, the problem is—I simply didn’t understand how the market makers operate.

**Trap 1: Impulsive Opening of Positions**

As soon as the market started to move, I couldn’t wait to jump in. Seeing a breakout level, I would go all-in, thinking I’d miss a huge opportunity if I didn’t.

And what happened? As soon as I entered, the big players would counter with a quick spike, knocking me out immediately. I finally understood that my opening signals were like inviting them to cut my throat.

**Trap 2: Stubbornly Holding Stop Losses**

I used to think fixed stop losses of 3% or 5% were impenetrable walls. Setting a stop loss meant I could sleep peacefully, feeling I was very safe.

But in the high-volatility waves of the contract market, that’s like handing a knife to the market makers. I was swept three times by “false breakouts,” watching helplessly as the market hit my stop loss, then reversed sharply in my predicted direction. That feeling was even worse than losing money directly.

**Trap 3: Heavy Position Betting**

Going all-in at once is like putting your entire account on one bet. Even if the direction is right, just a few K-line reversals can wipe your account to zero.

One night, I got liquidated. When I saw the balance drop to zero, I froze. That feeling still makes me shiver when I think about it.

**Survive to Make Money**

Since then, I set three ironclad rules—these are the secrets that allowed me to survive:

1. Never go all-in—divide your position into three parts and trade in rounds;

2. Follow the volatility with your stop loss—don’t stick to fixed numbers, adjust according to support and resistance;

3. Stay out of the market when it’s unclear—better to wait for a confirmed signal than to force a trade.

With these three rules, I slowly climbed out of the abyss of consecutive liquidations and started making steady profits. Over a year, my account tripled from the bottom.

The money you make in crypto isn’t ever about how accurately you predict the direction. The real big earners are those who survive the longest. Because the longer you survive, the more opportunities you have.

Correct direction is a matter of probability; surviving is a certainty.