#Strategy加码BTC配置 $RIVER This market trend, should I buy in or wait? Let me break it down.

**Has the bottom been confirmed?**

Looking at the chart, the low point hit around 11.263 and then rebounded. There was quite a fierce battle between bulls and bears at this level, indicating a relatively clear short-term bottom signal.

**How is the rebound strength?**

Recently, a large bullish candle broke through the short-term moving average, closing at 12.581. This shows buyers are starting to enter in an organized manner, and the short-term rebound momentum is still there. But don’t rush—this is just the beginning.

**Where is the medium-term resistance?**

The long-term moving average is in the range of 13.3 to 13.6. Currently, the price is still some distance away from this zone. For the bulls to truly break through, trading volume must accompany the move; inertia alone won’t push it up.

**How to interpret volume and patterns?**

Recently, a long bullish candle pushed the price up, but the previous downward trend formed by several bearish candles has not been fully erased. The market’s short-term sentiment is indeed fluctuating—that’s normal.

**How to operate?**

If the price retraces to support levels around 12~12.2 and does not break below, it indicates that accumulation is nearly complete, and the probability of continuing the short-term bullish trend is higher.

Conversely, if it breaks below 11.8~11.9, bears might test around 11.2 again.

**Risk reminder**

The volume supporting this rebound still needs to be sustained. Short-term pullbacks are normal, and it’s not advisable to go all-in at once. The long-term moving average resistance is still there; without volume confirmation of a breakout, caution is necessary to avoid falling back into consolidation.

**Final logic**

In the short term, the bias is bullish, so consider buying low and selling high to follow the rhythm. But whether the medium-term can break through the long-term moving average is the key. Until it breaks, don’t get too optimistic. The core strategy is simple—don’t chase the top, protect your capital, and follow the trend.