The essence of financial markets is that they cannot be fully controlled, so the question is—how can ordinary investors survive in this uncertainty?

There is a saying circulating in the industry: When others are fearful, I am greedy; when others are greedy, I am fearful. It sounds simple, but in practice, it can be deadly. Especially in the four-year cycle of the crypto market, this logic becomes even more complex.

Have you ever wondered what is behind every sharp rise in the market? It’s actually a large number of short positions being liquidated. Conversely, what about every decline? That’s when long positions are being harvested. The market does not operate according to so-called "rules"; it follows the interests of institutions and quantitative tools. When short positions are nearly all liquidated, big institutional players will use their quantitative tools to assess how much profit this wave of market movement can generate—whether it’s worth pushing the price up. The same logic applies at high levels. Therefore, "bottom" and "top" are essentially just battles of interests.

So where exactly is the "bottom"? Honestly, there is never an absolute bottom. Every coin or stock you see has its own independent market movement and intrinsic value. Instead of chasing perfect entry points, it’s better to learn to observe—observe repeatedly.

Want to survive longer in the crypto space? Here are the core recommendations:

**Control risk, start with low positions.** The initiative must be in your own hands. Only then can you quickly adjust when your market judgment is wrong, rather than being forced to cut losses. Leave enough flexibility and room for adjustment—that is the survival rule in uncertain markets.

Currently, the cryptocurrencies worth paying attention to include XRP, VET, and ETH, but only if you have already established your own risk management system.