#预测市场 The prediction market sector has been incredibly interesting lately! A point CZ mentioned in his year-end sharing really resonated with me — the success of leading projects isn't about who has the coolest features or raises the most funds, but about who can sustain investment in long-term competition and whose team has strong execution capabilities.

It reminds me of how Polymarket exploded during the US election — this wasn't a coincidence. Behind it is actually a team working tirelessly on product development and optimizing user experience. The next major milestone is the 2026 World Cup, and whoever is still fully committed and iterating quickly at that time will have the chance to stand out.

But there's an easily overlooked logic here — investing in multiple prediction market projects isn't a "horse race," but an "open garden." Competition expands the cake, different teams try different directions, and user needs will gradually become clearer. The true victory or defeat is always long-term. Projects that only seek quick arbitrage and lack a long-term mission are destined to be eliminated.

The future of prediction markets lies in their practicality — more accurate price discovery and more efficient capital allocation. This is precisely the value of Web3 decentralization. Believe in the power of persistence; good projects will eventually be recognized.