2026-01-02 05:50:19

#Strategy加码BTC配置 Is there only a 14.9% chance of a rate cut in January? Think again—The Federal Reserve's stance remains cautious

Just after the New Year, the market was jolted awake: the probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January is only 14.9%, while the chance of holding steady is as high as 85.1%.

Investors expecting a policy shift at the beginning of the year and hoping to enjoy easing benefits may be disappointed. Short-term liquidity remains tight, and liquidity improvement is still a long way off.

What does this mean for the crypto market? High interest rates and a strong dollar continue to suppress the upside potential of $BTC and $ETH. Many traders have already started adjusting their strategies, adopting a cautious outlook.

Rather than fantasizing about a policy shift, it's better to prepare for the long term—spring is coming, but the road is still long.

BTC1,25%

ETH2,87%

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MidnightTrader

· 9h ago

It's about time to face reality. The Fed folks definitely won't do as we expect. Interest rate cuts are a long way off. It looks like we'll have to fight a prolonged battle.

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OnChain_Detective

· 9h ago

nah this 14.9% narrative is exactly the kind of statistical manipulation that gets flagged in my pattern analysis... 85.1% odds of hold means fed's playing it safer than expected, which frankly screams liquidity crunch ahead. btc price action under pressure makes total sense from a data standpoint. not financial advice but folks need to dyor on their exposure right now

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HashRateHustler

· 9h ago

The Federal Reserve is really cold-blooded, sticking to 85% inaction and trying to outlast retail investors. BTC still needs to hold on in the short term, don't rush. Instead of constantly watching for interest rate cuts, it's better to do some research and buy the dip. The road is indeed long, but opportunities are also there.

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RadioShackKnight

· 9h ago

85.1% chance of staying put, which is telling us to wake up and not always think that a pie will fall from the sky.

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OnchainFortuneTeller

· 9h ago

Forget it, rather than waiting for that slim chance from the Federal Reserve, it's better to increase your BTC holdings now. Anyway, the bear market has to persist.

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NotAFinancialAdvice