#数字资产动态追踪 The Federal Reserve has made another big move—According to the December FOMC meeting minutes, the Fed plans to spend $220 billion to buy government bonds, ostensibly to prevent liquidity risks, but it also reflects the current pressure on the US dollar. Just look at the offshore RMB performance—yesterday it directly broke through 6.97, reaching a high of 6.9678, the highest since May 2023. The US dollar is depreciating, and this move by the Fed makes sense in that context.

Shifting to the crypto market. Bitcoin and Ethereum have entered a phase of slowed momentum in recent days—neither strong upward push nor rapid decline. The daily chart has been consolidating for nearly half a month, with Bollinger Bands clearly narrowing, and the price repeatedly hovering below the upper band. The news sentiment is also weak, coupled with investors’ concerns about overvalued US stocks, so the probability of a pullback is quite high. Consider accumulating during rebounds.

**1.2 Short Position Setup:**

When Bitcoin rebounds to the 89,000-89,500 range, continue to short. Conservative traders can wait until 90,000-90,500 before entering, with a stop-loss around 91,500. Initial targets are 88,000-87,500-87,000. If broken, look further down to 86,500-86,000, and adjust stop-losses dynamically based on market movements to lock in profits.

Ethereum follows the same logic. Short at 3,000-3,030 on rebounds, with a safer entry at 3,060-3,090, and a stop around 3,130. Downside targets are 2,950-2,900. If broken, look at 2,870-2,850, and continue protecting profits if further breakdown occurs.

**1.2 Long Opportunity:**

Aggressive traders can go long when Bitcoin pulls back to 86,000-86,500, with a stop-loss at 85,000. Key resistance levels are 87,500-88,000-88,500-89,000. If broken above 89,500 or 90,000, exit the position to cut losses.

For Ethereum, a pullback to 2,860-2,900 is a good entry point, with a support at 2,820. Targets are 2,950-2,980, and if broken, look at 3,000-3,050.

The core strategy is—treat the range as a zone of oscillation. Once broken, stop-loss immediately and don’t hold the bag. Enter decisively when the price reaches the zone; otherwise, risk missing out. For strong breakouts, just follow the trend.