#数字资产动态追踪 2026 or the current three-wave interest rate cut cycle, how should the crypto circle respond?

A few days ago, I came across an interesting economic observation — next year may face a special policy window. If the personnel composition of the Federal Reserve changes, coupled with a persistently weak employment market, there’s a possibility of three rate cuts in the first half of 2026. At first glance, it seems like a macro topic, but it’s actually closely related to our crypto market.

**Why are rate cuts so critical to the crypto circle?**

Simply put, rate cuts mean that the central bank is releasing liquidity, making money cheaper in the market. Historically, during each such cycle, hot money not only flows into the stock market but also often finds a significant landing spot in crypto assets. This is not speculation — the performance of Bitcoin and mainstream coins before and after the last Fed rate cut is well documented.

The uniqueness this time is that policy adjustments may come faster than expected. The market won’t wait for rate cuts to be implemented before acting; smart incremental funds are already pre-positioning for expectations in 2026-2027.

**What should we do?**

Don’t rush to go all-in, and don’t wait for the wind to come. What you should do now is to prepare in advance.

First, stabilize your core positions. Assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have withstood multiple tests, tend to perform best in an environment of long-term liquidity release. Short-term fluctuations are noise; don’t get shaken out.

Second, keep enough bullets. The market from now until the first half of 2026 will definitely have ups and downs. True entry opportunities often appear during sudden technical or emotional pullbacks. Reserving liquidity in advance can help you stay calm when others panic.

Third, beware of rotation traps. The expectation of rate cuts is indeed attractive, but before policies are actually implemented, market hotspots may fluctuate. Small-cap coins carry the highest risk; focusing your energy on proven mainstream assets is more reliable.

**Final words**

Those who survive the longest in this market are not necessarily those who guessed the right timing of the next trend, but those who maintain rational positions and are not forced out. The trend in 2026 is gradually shifting; now is the time to check whether your portfolio structure and risk management are solid.

Pay close attention to macro signals, find the right rhythm, and let’s navigate the next cycle together.