2026-01-01 22:20:11

It's not the right time to chase high now. $RIVER surging from this price level can easily lead to a double top trap, so caution is necessary.

What is the real situation? Is a breakthrough of 20u possible? Theoretically, yes, but here's the problem—the market makers need to consider the number of people willing to buy in. Without additional buyers or continuous orders, profits will disappear. This logic is harsh but very real.

My trading plan is as follows: when it hits 16u, reduce holdings by 20-30 lots to significantly lower risk exposure. Can it break below 20u? I still believe so. But 30u? Honestly, I don't quite understand that height; I don't think it can easily go up there. Instead of taking a position at a high level, it's better to lock in profits early.

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GateUser-00be86fc

· 2h ago

16u should make a move now, don't wait for the market maker to shake out and trap you.

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DaoResearcher

· 6h ago

Based on on-chain liquidity data, the $RIVER buy-in depth at 16u is indeed concerning — this essentially reflects an incentive mismatch, a classic issue in token economics. It is recommended to refer to the project's white paper on the dealer game equilibrium chapter. While the possibility of breaking below 20u exists, what about 30u? That is purely a bullish fantasy, and the risk tolerance does not match.

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MintMaster

· 6h ago

I agree with the 16u position reduction point. Don't wait until you're trapped to regret it. If the big players didn't have continuous buy orders, they would have already sold out, haha.

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JustHodlIt

· 6h ago

There's nothing wrong with what you said; 16u should have already made a move. Those who buy in at high levels are truly brave.

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RugResistant

· 6h ago

analyzed this closely and nah, the volume story doesn't check out here. $RIVER hitting 20u needs actual buying pressure, not just whale hopium. without sustained inflow, it's just another rug waiting to happen tbh. dyor but the 30u thesis? straight up unsafe implementation if you ask me

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NightAirdropper

· 6h ago

16u should run now, don't wait to get trapped. The number of people the big players haven't taken over can't be increased at all, this round looks very bad.

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ImpermanentPhobia

· 6h ago

16u should have run half of it first. Don't be greedy and get stuck in a loss. This broken logic works every time.

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