2026-01-01 19:20:50

The Federal Reserve has started to go dovish again. Recently, officials have been expressing support for continued rate cuts, and the market has sensed signals that liquidity is coming. The Bitcoin spot ETF finally broke its seven-day losing streak, absorbing $355 million yesterday, indicating that funds are slowly flowing back.

But here's the strange part. Normally, rate cuts plus a return of funds should lead to market exuberance. Yet, the reality? BTC price is stuck oscillating around $88,000, while market sentiment indicators still show "Fear." The bulls and bears are pulling in opposite directions fiercely, but no one dares to fully commit.

It's understandable when you think about it. Rate cuts are usually a response to economic recession, which is a hidden warning sign. For risk assets like Bitcoin, the expectation of economic slowdown might be a bigger threat. So even if liquidity increases, market confidence isn't that strong.

The cryptocurrency market is currently in such an awkward position: one eye is watching how traditional finance narratives unfold, while the other is exploring its true value. Short-term capital flows in and out, and long-term confidence accumulation—these two forces are pulling at each other behind the scenes.

In this environment, what can sustain a truly long-term value logic? Frequently following macro policy swings is definitely not the way. Genuine resilience should come from those activities that persist through both bull and bear markets—such as community building, promoting education, and creating real positive change. The trust built through these actions won't be shaken by a single rate cut expectation.

As market sentiment swings between news and data, some deeper consensus is quietly growing, taking root through practices in education, philanthropy, and community development. This is the kind of long-term story that can transcend cycles and endure over time.

BTC1,88%

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ser_aped.eth

· 14h ago

Even with such strong expectations of interest rate cuts, the market still can't move up, indicating that everyone knows the economy has cooled down. Liquidity alone is useless; without confidence, everything is pointless.

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WhaleWatcher

· 14h ago

The expectation of rate cuts has arrived, but BTC is still stuck at 88000, indicating that the market has no confidence at all. Funds are flowing in, but the sentiment is still fear, isn't this just a trap? I really don't understand those people who keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's actions every day; we need to develop our own value logic. I believe in the long-term story of community education, which is much more reliable than chasing hot trends. Only projects that are genuinely doing work can survive the next bear market; everything else is just fleeting. The bigger hidden danger is the signs of an economic recession; even abundant liquidity can't save coins with poor fundamentals. It looks like another fake fall with real accumulation tactics—waiting to see who ends up buried inside.

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MeaninglessApe

· 14h ago

The game of rate cuts is always the same; liquidity increases but the market sentiment remains cold and indifferent. The real issue is not interest rates; the shadow of an economic recession is the true killer. The 88,000 price level is just waiting for a signal, but no one knows what it is. Bitcoin spot ETF attracting funds—what's the use? It depends on whether it can hold up in the future. Talking about community building, education, and charity—these are all empty words when the bull market arrives. Short-term speculation and long-term belief are fundamentally two different worlds. Expectations of rate cuts? That's the biggest trap of all. Liquidity flowing back sounds good, but market sentiment is still at rock bottom. Bulls and bears are fighting here—who will blink first?

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GasBankrupter

· 14h ago

The expectation of interest rate cuts has arrived, liquidity has returned, so why is it still so frustrating... Stuck at 88k and not moving, it's really frustrating. Signals of an economic recession, how can risk assets be optimistic? That's the real fear. It still depends on who is actually taking action; just speculating on expectations will eventually backfire.

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DeFiDoctor

· 14h ago

88000 this position repeatedly entangled, clinical records show typical symptoms of "liquidity ample but confidence lacking," it’s necessary to thoroughly investigate the root cause. --- Can expectations of rate cuts really drive 3.55 billion? This number itself is somewhat suspicious; regular on-chain metric reviews are needed for a proper diagnosis. --- The issue isn’t how much liquidity there is, but that the market is betting on an economic recession. The desire for risk assets should naturally be discounted, which is reasonable. --- Projects that still follow macro policy fluctuations now are likely to develop complications later; I am not optimistic about them. --- The protocols that can truly survive rely not on a single rate cut signal, but on ongoing efforts—code quality, community engagement—these are the real indicators of strength. --- 88000 has been stuck for so long, both bears and bulls are scared? Those who dare to go all-in in this environment might have some issues. --- Community building, educational promotion—these seemingly "virtual" things are actually true assets that can cross cycles; data will gradually prove this.

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