Polymarket's mirror-style order book sharing design is indeed ingenious—achieving a clever liquidity balance through the Yes+No=1 mechanism. However, this approach is more suitable for leading tracks and mainstream prediction categories, as it requires sufficient market maker participation. For long-tail markets, especially social predictions, an independent order book model might be more efficient. Imagine separating Yes and No into two completely independent pools, with the eventual winning participants sharing all the rewards of the opposite pool proportional to their share—could such a design better incentivize initial liquidity for long-tail assets? Both mechanisms have their strengths; the key is to match the market depth and participant structure.

View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 5
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
MetaNeighborvip
· 11h ago
The long-tail market is indeed a pain point. Polymarket's design is very user-friendly for the mainstream, but niche predictions really fall short. The idea of an independent prize pool is pretty good; it seems like it could energize many niche tracks.
View OriginalReply0
NFTregrettervip
· 11h ago
I think the logic of the independent prize pools in the long-tail market is a bit idealistic. Can the liquidity fragmentation issue be resolved in actual operation?
View OriginalReply0
ExpectationFarmervip
· 11h ago
Liquidity in the long-tail market is indeed a big issue. I need to think about the idea of an independent prize pool.
View OriginalReply0
AllInAlicevip
· 11h ago
The pain points of long-tail prediction markets really hit home for me; mirror trading platforms are truly not a panacea.
View OriginalReply0
ProxyCollectorvip
· 12h ago
The long-tail market is indeed a trap; the big players are making a fortune, while niche predictions are directly falling into a death spiral... The idea of an independent prize pool is interesting, but it still seems vulnerable to being crushed by farmers.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)