#数字资产动态追踪 BTC 1-Hour Chart Bottoming Signal Emerges, Breakout Just Ahead

Staring at this chart, I noticed a few details—BOLL bands tightening to the limit, multiple moving averages sticking together, indicating a compression phase. MACD momentum below the zero line is clearly weakening (bars dropping to -39.3), the fast and slow lines are starting to converge, and on the hourly level, there's already a hint of bullish divergence. The price is stuck in a narrow range, repeatedly rubbing against support and resistance, with the bulls and bears engaged in an increasingly heated tug-of-war.

What does on-chain data say? Exchange BTC balances have decreased by 2.3% week-over-week, while whale addresses have increased holdings by over 8,000 coins in the past 24 hours. Large holders are clearly accumulating on dips. Long-term holders are staying put, with over 70% of positions held for more than a year—these believers are unwavering. Network hash rate remains at a historical high, indicating the chain's fundamentals are solid—every dip is an opportunity for them to buy in.

Regarding market sentiment, the dovish signals from global central banks have revived risk assets, easing bond market inversion pressures. Spot ETF inflows have continued for 15 days straight, and institutional FOMO is quietly brewing. No black swan events from regulators, and liquidity is not tight.

What’s my view? The probability of an upward move is over 70%. The consolidation phase should be ending soon. Once volume breaks above the resistance zone (focusing on the previous high-density area), buy orders will flood in, with an expected rise of 8%-12%. If it unexpectedly breaks down, on-chain holders will strongly support the price, limiting the downside. The trading logic is simple—gradually buy long positions at the current price, place stop-loss below support, and chase the breakout.

$BTC