At the beginning of the new year, as we look back on the market turbulence of the past year, let's discuss the upcoming Bitcoin trend.

Recently, I have observed several interesting patterns and would like to share my personal judgment—of course, these are bold speculations based on historical data and may not be accurate. You can use them as a reference for comparison.

First, a key point: volatility in January usually increases significantly. If a decline occurs, Bitcoin is likely to replicate the previous drop pattern—plummeting from 100,000 straight down to 80,000. This time, it might similarly sharply dip to around 71,000. I previously predicted that big drop from 100,000 to 80,000, which indeed materialized, so this logic still has some reference value.

But here’s a critical turning point: if this round of sharp drops occurs, the rebound will be very quick. Unlike the narrow-range consolidation during the institutional gap in December last year, the next phase should enter a wide-range oscillation—both upward and downward movements will be more intense.

Looking ahead over the next few months, if Bitcoin finally stabilizes around 69,000, that level could become a good spot for spot position building, and it’s worth continuously monitoring market developments.