French Equities Display Weakness Following Geopolitical Developments

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Monday’s trading session in Paris painted a picture of hesitation, with the CAC 40 struggling to maintain momentum despite an optimistic opening. The index, which had climbed to 8,128.10 early in the day, gradually retreated to 8,090.18—a decline of 13.40 points or 0.17%—as thin volume and cautious sentiment took hold.

The underlying weakness stemmed from a combination of factors. Talk of progress in Ukraine peace negotiations triggered a defensive positioning among investors, causing defense-oriented equities to underperform. Thales exemplified this trend, sliding approximately 1.7%. Meanwhile, the broader industrial and consumer sectors exhibited vulnerability, with Safran dropping 1.6%, and AXA, Legrand, Airbus Group, Pernod Ricard, Renault, and Kering all losing between 0.5% and 0.9%.

Additional pressure came from subdued trading conditions. With limited macroeconomic catalysts and no major corporate announcements to guide positioning, market participants adopted a wait-and-see posture. This reserved approach reflected across multiple blue-chip names, as Eurofins Scientific, L’Oreal, Danone, Stellantis, and Eifage all edged lower during the session.

Not all sectors capitulated, however. Defensive and utility-oriented equities found some footing. ArcelorMittal advanced roughly 1%, while Saint Gobain, Michelin, Publicis Groupe, Sanofi, TotalEnergies, Societe Generale, Accor, STMicroElectronics, and Veolia all registered modest gains between 0.4% and 0.9%.

The fixed-income market reflected similar caution. France’s 10-year government bond yield, which had dipped to 3.542% earlier in the morning, subsequently edged upward to 3.557%, signaling shifting risk perceptions among fixed-income investors.

Looking ahead, the abbreviated trading calendar will test liquidity further, with markets closing Wednesday afternoon and shutting down entirely Thursday for the New Year’s Day holiday.

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