European Equities Inch Higher Amid Ukraine Peace Optimism

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European stock markets closed the session on a cautious uptick on Monday, with trading activity tempered by geopolitical considerations and a scarcity of major economic catalysts. The broader market mood reflected tentative positioning as traders digested signals of potential progress in Ukraine peace negotiations.

Pan-European Index Performance

The Stoxx 600 benchmark edged up 0.11% to settle at 589.36, while the U.K.'s FTSE 100 advanced 0.2% to 9,890.90. Germany’s DAX rose 18.87 points (0.1%) to 24,358.93, while France’s CAC 40 climbed 17.96 points (0.22%) to 8,121.54. Across all indices, the rally remained measured as market participants maintained a defensive posture.

Geopolitical Headwinds on Defense Sector

President Trump’s comments suggesting Ukraine peace talks are “getting a lot closer” weighed on defense-oriented equities, despite unresolved territorial disputes. Aerospace and defense stocks including Safran, Thales and BAE Systems declined between 0.9% and 1.7%, reflecting profit-taking on easing geopolitical tension premiums. Rheinmetall dropped nearly 2.5% in German trade, while Rolls-Royce Holdings retreated 1.2%.

Gainers Across Sectors

Commodities leadership drove U.K. performance, with miners Fresnillo, Glencore, Anglo American and Antofagasta each rising 1-2%. Real estate and discretionary names benefited from broader sentiment, including Barratt Redrow, Berkeley Group, Persimmon and Segro climbing between 0.8% and 1.5%. German auto stocks rebounded, with Mercedes-Benz, BMW and Adidas posting gains of 1-1.7%. BASF, Brenntag and Vonovia also participated in the advance. In France, ArcelorMittal led the metals sector with a 1.3% jump, while Michelin, STMicroElectronics and TotalEnergies gained modestly.

Notable Decliners

Beyond defense, utilities and financials faced headwinds. Munich RE, Qiagen and Fresenius in Germany slipped into negative territory. Thales and Safran’s decline mirrored broader caution around industrials exposed to geopolitical risks. Beazley, Hiscox and British American Tobacco retreated 0.9-1.7% in London.

Labor Market Easing in France

November unemployment figures provided a bright spot for sentiment. The number of registered unemployed in mainland France fell by 21,500 to 3.129 million, reversing the trend after two consecutive months of gains. The October reading had reached 3.151 million, a seven-month high. Year-on-year comparisons remained elevated at 197,300 more jobless persons versus November 2024, though the monthly decline suggested stabilization in the labor market.

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