The last trading day of the year, the market is迎接2025年新周期 amid intense volatility. The actions of institutional investors are sending key signals.



From the holdings data, Bitmine has increased its ETH holdings by 32,938 ETH, a move worth approximately $97.6 million, indicating strong confidence in Ethereum. Meanwhile, a leading crypto fund has accumulated 2,000 Bitcoin, valued at about $177 million, with continuous buying showing that large funds remain optimistic about the long-term outlook. On the other hand, an investor supported by Beckham has announced the cessation of its accumulation plan, and Prenetics has maintained its current 510 Bitcoin without additional purchases—these seemingly contradictory actions reflect differing risk assessments among market participants.

Whale operations are frequent. An old BTC player is floating at a loss of up to $39 million, and shorts are targeting LIT aggressively. Another whale sold 3,000 ETH, recording a loss of $43,000. The difficulty of swing trading is evident.

On the macro front, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year is 85.1%, with continued rate cuts supporting risk assets. Global stock markets are also experiencing their largest gains in six years, with about 94% of stocks remaining above the 200-day moving average. The upward trend of this long cycle continues.

CZ stated that, at the current pace, certain regions are expected to become leading countries in global cryptocurrency by 2030, and the industry’s growth remains hot. Elon Musk admitted that Tesla and SpaceX stocks almost constitute his entire wealth, reflecting tech giants’ tilt toward traditional assets.

It is worth noting that SlowMist’s annual security report shows that total security incidents this year resulted in losses of approximately $2.935 billion, and generative AI is becoming a tool for attacks. Protective strategies need to keep pace with evolving threats.

The current crypto fear index has risen to 32, and the market remains in a state of panic. During the year-end holiday, many institutional investors are choosing to exit and observe, but this period is also when market changes are most likely to occur. On the last trading day of 2025, the market waits for a new direction amid uncertainty.
ETH1%
BTC0,13%
LIT0,22%
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SatsStackingvip
· 01-02 23:38
Large funds are buying, large funds are also selling. This is the current market situation, right? Who can say for sure? Wait, a floating loss of $39 million? That guy must be heartbroken. I think I'll just keep stacking Sats. The panic index is only 32? I don't think that's panicked enough haha. We'll see when it really drops. The expectation of interest rate cuts is supporting the market. We've heard this logic before last year. Will it still work in 2025? Buying while selling, this kind of operation by institutions is indeed a bit frustrating, but for retail investors, it's just an observation period. A $2.9 billion loss, AI has become a tool for committing crimes? Protection is necessary, but I'm more concerned about when it will take off.
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DeadTrades_Walkingvip
· 01-02 20:03
Institutions are all playing psychological games, buying and stopping, who knows their true intentions Big whales are also starting to lose money; this kind of swing trading is really not human work A loss of $2.9 billion, AI attacks definitely need to be taken seriously Panic index at 32, what could be more exciting than this 2025 is coming, but it feels like nothing has been well thought out Institutions that are optimistic about ETH really dare to hold heavy positions, 177 million BTC is also crazy Interest rates remaining unchanged is actually a positive, but I always feel something is off
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DaoResearchervip
· 01-01 09:42
From the perspective of data performance, the divergence in institutional holdings behind this wave is actually due to a mismatch in governance incentives. What does Bitmine increasing its ETH holdings versus Prenetics freezing BTC indicate? From the perspective of token economics, the threshold differences in risk aversion have been confirmed. Speaking of which, the $2.935 billion in security losses is quite alarming. The use of generative AI as an attack tool should draw the attention of DAO governance. Whales with unrealized losses of $39 million still holding on—this behavior warrants in-depth analysis—are they driven by conviction or trapped? If the hypothesis holds, it reflects a systemic bias in the decision-making models of market participants. At a panic index of 32, historical data suggests this is usually an opportunity window, but only if you understand that market equilibrium has not yet been reached. The institutional exit at the end of the year seems to be preparing for the execution cycle of on-chain governance proposals. 2025 won't be that simple.
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NoodlesOrTokensvip
· 2025-12-31 06:50
Whales are losing so much, but I feel like I haven't earned enough compared to what they're losing haha Bitmine is aggressively accumulating ETH, this pace feels a bit off, is it optimistic or just pre-emptive preparation for a dump? A $2.935 billion security vulnerability, AI is even helping hackers now? We need to be more cautious in 2025 Elon Musk's entire wealth is in tech stocks, is this guy truly a believer or just caught in a trap? The panic index is at 32, but institutions are still buying. Is this really the bottom or the night before the sickle harvest? The probability of interest rate remaining unchanged is 85%, in other words, more liquidity is coming. The crypto market just has to wait for a surge. This move has some bullish and some cautious, the market is really tearing itself apart.
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MetaMaximalistvip
· 2025-12-31 06:49
honestly the whales getting liquidated while institutions keep accumulating is exactly the adoption curve we've been talking about for years... network effects don't lie
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GasFeeCriervip
· 2025-12-31 06:33
Institutions are performing a two-person show, one side疯狂抄底 and the other rushing to run away. Is this what they call "different judgments"? I think it's just a lack of confidence. --- The story of the whales is really well told. A $39 million unrealized loss can be considered as tuition fees. The key question is whether they dare to continue playing afterward. --- Wait, does Bitmine's sudden increase of 32,938 ETH mean "confidence in the prospects"? The more I think about this logic, the more it doesn't add up. --- With a $2.935 billion loss from security incidents, I am even more convinced to stick to my low-profile strategy. --- Expectations of interest rate cuts support risk assets, but the VIX is still hovering around 32. Basically, everyone is betting—betting whose chips are thicker. --- Elon Musk has invested his entire fortune in Tesla and SpaceX. This guy is even more aggressive than us. He must have a lot of confidence in himself. --- The group that exits at the end of the year to observe—either they are truly wise or just afraid of being cut. Anyway, I can't see through it. --- Is generative AI now a hacking tool? Then security measures really need to be upgraded, or no one will be safe.
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StablecoinArbitrageurvip
· 2025-12-31 06:32
honestly, the divergence between bitmine's 32k eth accumulation and prenetics freezing is the real tell here—not conflicting signals, just different risk appetites adjusting their sharpe ratios
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