I recently organized some data and discovered a few interesting phenomena:
**ETF Portfolio Changes** Bitcoin spot ETFs have experienced net outflows for a consecutive week, with no new capital entering the market. This signal is not very optimistic and reflects cautiousness among institutional investors.
**Exchange Premium Structure Reversal** The Bitcoin premium index on a major compliant platform has recently maintained a negative range for 11 consecutive days, currently at -0.0689%. Negative premium indicates that the platform's price is below the global market average, which usually implies several signals: strong selling pressure in the US market, declining risk appetite among investors, increasing safe-haven sentiment, and possible capital outflows.
**But here’s the interesting part** Although these indicators point to pessimism, Bitcoin's price has not experienced a significant plunge this week. Normally, such signals should trigger a larger decline, but the market reaction has been quite muted — it seems really unable to fall further.
My judgment is that sideways consolidation may continue for a few more weeks, followed by a likely rebound. Of course, this is just an inference based on current data and for reference only.
A reminder: investing always involves risks. Think carefully before making any decisions, and don’t let emotions dominate. The final decision is in your hands.
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MiningDisasterSurvivor
· 12-28 18:19
Once again, "It's going to rebound," right? I've gone through this kind of rhetoric before.
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DeFiDoctor
· 12-28 07:17
The consultation records show that these negative signals piling up should have triggered a plunge, but the market didn't move downward—this clinical manifestation is quite intriguing, indicating that the bottom support may be more solid than the surface data suggests. It is recommended to regularly review that -0.0689% premium indicator; only a reverse breakout would be a genuine warning sign.
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DegenTherapist
· 12-27 14:09
Not moving downward is a sign of the bottom; I bet it will rebound after a few weeks of sideways trading.
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UncommonNPC
· 12-26 17:25
Unable to fall further, this is getting interesting... feels like the bottom is testing
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Negative premium has lasted for 11 days? What does this mean, is it time to buy the dip?
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Institutions are all fleeing, retail investors are still sleepwalking, it's a bit crazy
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Rebound after sideways trading for a few weeks? I bet it will move next week
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It really looks stuck, either up or crashing, stop teasing us
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Premium reversal combined with outflow signals, this combo is tough, but if the price doesn't move, it's still bullish
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Unable to fall further = no one is selling, that's what it means, right?
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The fundamentals are so bad but it’s still holding up, pretty tough
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Institutions are cautious, so we follow cautiously, no need to be optimistic
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All negative signals stacked together, but the market just ignores them, so frustrating
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TommyTeacher1
· 12-25 19:51
I can't believe it's not falling anymore. I trust this, what are the institutions waiting for? Let's wait for a rebound.
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MetaNomad
· 12-25 19:51
Is it true that it can't go down? It feels like someone is calling for a bottom again these days.
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Negative premium for 11 days without a rebound—are they holding a big move or does nobody want it?
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Sideways for weeks, expecting a rebound? It looks to me like waiting for the next needle to prick down.
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Institutions are flowing out while retail investors are still buying in. I know this routine too well.
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The most frightening thing is this kind of "seems unmovable" market, which often deceives the most.
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Data says the pessimistic market is very calm, so should I trust the data or the market?
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Rebound? First, ask whether the Federal Reserve agrees or not.
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rug_connoisseur
· 12-25 19:51
It's truly a good sign that it can't fall further; the bottom is forming.
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LiquidatedThrice
· 12-25 19:49
If it can't fall further, it indicates the bottom has formed. Waiting for a rebound?
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BlockchainRetirementHome
· 12-25 19:45
It's true that it can't fall any further. The institutions are really waiting for something this time. It feels like the bottom consensus isn't that easy to establish.
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InfraVibes
· 12-25 19:27
What does it mean when it can't go down? The bottom consensus has already formed, just waiting for the moment of rebound.
I recently organized some data and discovered a few interesting phenomena:
**ETF Portfolio Changes**
Bitcoin spot ETFs have experienced net outflows for a consecutive week, with no new capital entering the market. This signal is not very optimistic and reflects cautiousness among institutional investors.
**Exchange Premium Structure Reversal**
The Bitcoin premium index on a major compliant platform has recently maintained a negative range for 11 consecutive days, currently at -0.0689%. Negative premium indicates that the platform's price is below the global market average, which usually implies several signals: strong selling pressure in the US market, declining risk appetite among investors, increasing safe-haven sentiment, and possible capital outflows.
**But here’s the interesting part**
Although these indicators point to pessimism, Bitcoin's price has not experienced a significant plunge this week. Normally, such signals should trigger a larger decline, but the market reaction has been quite muted — it seems really unable to fall further.
My judgment is that sideways consolidation may continue for a few more weeks, followed by a likely rebound. Of course, this is just an inference based on current data and for reference only.
A reminder: investing always involves risks. Think carefully before making any decisions, and don’t let emotions dominate. The final decision is in your hands.