2025-12-25 08:24:15

There is a saying circulating in the market: Bitcoin's chip structure shows signs of high-level consumption, which seems to indicate that the market bottom is being accumulated and a bull market is hopeful. But the actual situation may not be so optimistic.

Recent public information shows that the Federal Reserve Chairman stated that there might only be one rate cut this year, far below the market’s previous expectation of three. How significant is this shift? Macro-level policy guidance often outweighs various positive signals at the micro level. The flow of hot money is changing, and institutional investors seem to be gradually reducing their positions during this rally — they need someone to take over.

From another perspective, if you are still holding high-position holdings now, the risk is indeed increasing. The risk of liquidity exhaustion not only threatens mainstream coins but also makes the situation for altcoins more severe. From a technical and capital perspective, how long this rally can be sustained is worth discussing.

Of course, everyone’s understanding of the market is different. What is shared here is just a perspective based on current information and does not constitute any investment advice. When making decisions, you should also consider your own risk tolerance and financial planning.

BTC0.64%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

TokenomicsTrapper

· 8h ago

nah classic exit pump pattern, vcs dumping on retail as usual. called this months ago tbh

Reply0

GweiWatcher

· 8h ago

Here we go again with the same chip structure explanation. Who will take the bait this time? I believe in institutions reducing their positions; as for a bull market, I just lol. To those holding positions at high levels, the risk is no joke. One word from the Federal Reserve, and all technical analysis is useless. No matter how eloquently you put it, you can't change the fact that hot money is withdrawing.

View OriginalReply0

GhostInTheChain

· 8h ago

Institutions are reducing their positions, retail investors are taking the bait, this routine is played year after year --- One rate cut? Where will the hot money flow then? The promised easing, where is it? --- High-level depletion is just a smoke screen before institutions escape --- Friends holding positions at high levels, wake up --- To put it simply, macro factors are killing all technical bullish signals, no room for argument --- Regarding altcoins, all I can say is, pray, brothers --- Another warning that "this wave might be off," let's see if it comes true --- The bagholders are still dreaming of a bull market, but institutions already have plan B

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunter

· 8h ago

The theory of chip structure... Just listen to it, but didn't you notice institutions are reducing their positions? Macro pressure on micro, this time it's different.

View OriginalReply0

PretendingSerious

· 9h ago

Institutions are running again, and retail investors are still taking the bait... The reversal of the rate cut expectation can indeed overshadow all kinds of tricks on the technical side from a macro perspective. Brothers and sisters holding positions at high levels, it's time to exit when you should. Honestly, the liquidity shortage issue has been seriously underestimated, and altcoins are going to be completely cooled off. The chip structure sounds good, but policies are the real boss, and they are of no use. Hot money flow has changed direction, and that’s a signal. Don’t be fooled by those positive stories. There will never be a shortage of bagholders, but we don’t know who it will be today. No matter how beautiful the words, they can't change the fact that risks are rising.

View OriginalReply0