Year-end market sprint phase, the A-share market shows a clear continuous upward trend. As of the most recent trading day, the index has achieved seven consecutive positive days and has stood above the 10-week moving average for two consecutive days. This performance suggests that the upward momentum may continue into next week.
From a technical perspective, the 4000-point threshold is becoming a key target in the near term. If the index can break through and stabilize above this level around the last trading day of the year next Wednesday, it will not only mark a strong finish but also lay the foundation for a long-term slow bull market in 2026. Looking at historical benchmarks, the eight consecutive positive days on August 13, 2024, were followed by a continued rise of over 300 points to a new high. Currently, the market is at 3959.62, just under 50 points away from 4000, and the mid-term target of 4317 points (the top during the transition from bull to bear ten years ago) still has over 300 points of room. This distance creates a similar benchmark.
**Recent Market Logic and Sector Opportunities**
In the short term, the year-end weekend effect may lead to a rise followed by a pullback tomorrow, but the overall upward trend remains unchanged, and the pattern of eight consecutive positive days is highly likely to form. The appearance of seven consecutive positive days often indicates that the bearish momentum is waning, and after a short-term correction, new highs are more likely.
Regarding sector allocation, semiconductors, photovoltaics, and securities remain the core areas for long-term tracking. Notably, recent main capital flows show that the military industry and commercial aerospace sectors are exhibiting obvious inflows, ranking among the top ten consecutively. As a representation of hardcore technology, commercial aerospace is expanding rapidly under policy stimulation. Breakthroughs in constellation networking and rocket recovery technologies have opened growth ceilings for it. In the context of global technological competition, it is expected to become the second most important tech sector after semiconductors.
**Trend Investing vs. Short-term Trading**
In the current market environment, short-term opportunities are gradually diminishing, while the value of trend investing is becoming more prominent. A long-term slow bull market is an inevitable path driven by policy-led economic transformation and upgrading, as well as the evolution of the stock market from wild growth to maturity. High-frequency trading in the short term faces increasing difficulty, much like a collapsing tightrope—more participants make it easier to miss the step. Only by standing on the trend bridge can one walk steadily and far.
Those high-profile short-term traders should moderate their profile; frequent market interference will ultimately backfire. True investment wisdom lies in grasping the big direction and patiently waiting, rather than chasing emotional swings. Short-term trading will eventually decline, and the trend will reign—this is the inevitable logic of market evolution, and time will provide the final answer.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
11 Likes
Reward
11
8
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
DegenDreamer
· 4h ago
4,000 points is really fast, and I feel that this wave is really different
View OriginalReply0
LayoffMiner
· 8h ago
Four thousand points are right in front of us, it feels like this wave is really going to break through. Let's see how high it can go by 2026.
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeWhisperer
· 8h ago
A slow bull market is the real craving; the short-term trading strategies should have retired long ago.
View OriginalReply0
ImpermanentLossFan
· 8h ago
Whether 4000 points will break or not, it still depends on how the main forces act later.
Talking about a slow bull again, I just want to ask if this time it's real or just another pie in the sky?
I've already jumped into semiconductors early, and I really like commercial aerospace, but we need to be cautious about liquidity.
Short-term decline? Uh... I think it still depends on the market performance, can't be so absolute.
Seven consecutive positive days sound great, but will the weekend effect really cause a drop? Feeling a bit anxious.
The military industry sector has indeed been moving recently, but the timing of entering is very critical.
Trend investing is a good theory, but how many people can truly be patient? I don't have that kind of resolve.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketBuyer
· 8h ago
4000 points are just an illusionary number game; those who can endure are the ones truly making money.
View OriginalReply0
RektRecorder
· 8h ago
It's the story of 4000 points again, I've heard it so many times... Whether it breaks or not still depends on the funds.
View OriginalReply0
NftRegretMachine
· 8h ago
Whether the 4000-point level breaks or not depends mainly on next Wednesday's situation.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropLicker
· 8h ago
Can 4000 points really stand firm? It feels like it's blowing...
Year-end market sprint phase, the A-share market shows a clear continuous upward trend. As of the most recent trading day, the index has achieved seven consecutive positive days and has stood above the 10-week moving average for two consecutive days. This performance suggests that the upward momentum may continue into next week.
From a technical perspective, the 4000-point threshold is becoming a key target in the near term. If the index can break through and stabilize above this level around the last trading day of the year next Wednesday, it will not only mark a strong finish but also lay the foundation for a long-term slow bull market in 2026. Looking at historical benchmarks, the eight consecutive positive days on August 13, 2024, were followed by a continued rise of over 300 points to a new high. Currently, the market is at 3959.62, just under 50 points away from 4000, and the mid-term target of 4317 points (the top during the transition from bull to bear ten years ago) still has over 300 points of room. This distance creates a similar benchmark.
**Recent Market Logic and Sector Opportunities**
In the short term, the year-end weekend effect may lead to a rise followed by a pullback tomorrow, but the overall upward trend remains unchanged, and the pattern of eight consecutive positive days is highly likely to form. The appearance of seven consecutive positive days often indicates that the bearish momentum is waning, and after a short-term correction, new highs are more likely.
Regarding sector allocation, semiconductors, photovoltaics, and securities remain the core areas for long-term tracking. Notably, recent main capital flows show that the military industry and commercial aerospace sectors are exhibiting obvious inflows, ranking among the top ten consecutively. As a representation of hardcore technology, commercial aerospace is expanding rapidly under policy stimulation. Breakthroughs in constellation networking and rocket recovery technologies have opened growth ceilings for it. In the context of global technological competition, it is expected to become the second most important tech sector after semiconductors.
**Trend Investing vs. Short-term Trading**
In the current market environment, short-term opportunities are gradually diminishing, while the value of trend investing is becoming more prominent. A long-term slow bull market is an inevitable path driven by policy-led economic transformation and upgrading, as well as the evolution of the stock market from wild growth to maturity. High-frequency trading in the short term faces increasing difficulty, much like a collapsing tightrope—more participants make it easier to miss the step. Only by standing on the trend bridge can one walk steadily and far.
Those high-profile short-term traders should moderate their profile; frequent market interference will ultimately backfire. True investment wisdom lies in grasping the big direction and patiently waiting, rather than chasing emotional swings. Short-term trading will eventually decline, and the trend will reign—this is the inevitable logic of market evolution, and time will provide the final answer.