International News
The probability of the Fed rate remaining unchanged in April is 99.5%, and the likelihood of a rate hike this year has increased to 14.7%
According to CME FedWatch: the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike in April is 0.5%, unchanged — 99.5%. By June, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.0%, unchanged — 93.5%, and a 25 basis point increase — 0.5%. By December, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 35.1% (the day before — 25.1), unchanged — 50.2% (the day before — 73), an increase — 14.7% (the day before — 1.9).
The Russian presidential aide stated that the Strait of Hormuz is open to Russia
Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov told Russian media that the Strait of Hormuz is open to Russian ships. He also noted that the situation in the Middle East remains complex. Additionally, he mentioned that the US has not approached Russia with requests for mediation to resolve the situation in the Middle East. (CCTV News)
US Army attacked Iranian bridge, new strikes on infrastructure expected
According to Axios, on Thursday, U.S. military forces struck a key civilian infrastructure target in Iran for the first time, a few hours after President Trump’s threat to “push Iran back to the Stone Age.” The strike on the B-1 bridge near Tehran indicates an expansion of U.S. military targets and could mark the beginning of attacks on energy, hydroelectric, and transportation infrastructure. A Pentagon spokesperson said further strikes on bridges are possible. The bridge was targeted because Iranian armed forces used it to transport missiles and components from Tehran to the western part of the country. Components were transported in large boxes and containers, assembled at the launch site. The bridge was also used to supply the Iranian military in Tehran.
Iran attacked Oracle and Amazon data centers in the region
On the evening of April 2, the IRGC Navy command issued a statement about strikes on Oracle’s data

Gold Market
On Thursday, gold prices sharply fell amid a stronger US dollar and rising expectations of interest rate hikes: spot gold dropped by 2.2% to 4,651.35 dollars per ounce, and American gold futures declined by 2.8% to 4,679.70 dollars. US President Trump said he would continue attacks on Iran, promising to “send Iran back to the Stone Age,” which pushed oil prices higher, intensified concerns about inflation, and reduced the likelihood of rate cuts, putting pressure on non-yielding gold. Since the escalation of the Middle East conflict on February 28, spot gold prices have fallen by 12%. Market sentiment also deteriorated due to a sharp reduction in the gold reserves of the Central Bank of Turkey—over the past two weeks by more than 118 tons (on last week — a decline of 69.1 tons to 702.5 tons). On the demand side, amid falling gold prices in India, a premium over the spot price was recorded for the first time in two months. Among other precious metals: spot silver fell by 3.7% to 72.38 dollars, platinum rose by 0.9% to 1,981.95 dollars, and palladium fell by 1.9% to 1,497.00 dollars.

STABLECOINS CROSS A NEW THRESHOLD IN THE GLOBAL PAYMENT SYSTEM
As structural transformation accelerates in the digital asset market, stablecoins are marking a critical turning point in financial architecture, surpassing the transaction volume of the Automated Clearing House (ACH), a key payment infrastructure of the US banking system, for the first time. According to February data, stablecoin transfer volume reached approximately $7.2 trillion, while the ACH system remained at $6.8 trillion during the same period.
This development reflects a lasting change in the nature of capital movements rather than short-term market excitement. Stablecoins are no longer merely a tool of the crypto market, but are becoming an increasingly used component of the global payment and consensus layer.
Assets like Tether and USD Coin, central to the stablecoin ecosystem, are preferred, particularly in cross-border payments and institutional transactions, due to their high liquidity, low volatility, and dollar-based value pegging. Unlike traditional banking systems with transaction hours, weekend restrictions, and geographical limitations, stablecoins offer 24/7 uninterrupted and near-instantaneous transfer capabilities. It offers
On the corporate side, the main driving force of growth is not individual speculation, but rather B2B payments, supply chain finance, and international trade flows. Companies are turning to stablecoin-based solutions to achieve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and shorten settlement times. This situation, especially in emerging markets, facilitates access to dollar liquidity and increases financial inclusion.
Significant developments are also taking place in the US and global regulatory framework. Reserve transparency, audit standards, and licensing processes are becoming clearer for stablecoin issuers, while integration between traditional financial institutions and blockchain-based infrastructures is accelerating. This process supports the positioning of stablecoins as regulated financial instruments, moving away from being a systemic risk factor.
From a macro perspective, the fact that stablecoin volumes are surpassing established systems like ACH shows that the financial infrastructure is evolving towards decentralization. In this transformation, speed, accessibility, and programmability stand out as decisive factors. Stablecoins are not only a means of payment but are also becoming the cornerstone of a new generation of financial infrastructure that can work integrated with smart contracts.
In this context, while Bitcoin is increasingly strengthening its role as a digital reserve asset, stablecoins are becoming a key element of liquidity. One is positioned as the main layer enabling circulation, while the other stands out as a store of value, representing the infrastructure that makes the daily functioning of the financial system possible.
In conclusion, stablecoins surpassing ACH volume stands out as a concrete indicator of a paradigm shift in the financial world. Capital is now moving towards systems that are faster, more flexible, and can move across borders. If this trend continues, it is considered highly probable that stablecoins will become one of the central components of the global payment infrastructure in the coming years.
#StablecoinDebateHeatsUp
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Editorial Summary
The latest adjustments to the Trump administration’s tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper preserve the core protections, but—thanks to a threshold for metal content and cost-based calculations—enable more precise administration. These changes help streamline enforcement, increase budget receipts, and reduce the excessive impact on consumer goods with low metal content. Over the long term, their effectiveness will depend on how global supply chains respond and how related industries adapt.