#比特币流动性 Looking at recent monthly data and the performance of the Put-Call Ratio, combined with the capital flow situation on exchanges, here are some conclusions:
**Trend Aspect** The consecutive decline in Q4 last year, especially the 17.67% plunge in November, shattered many people's expectations of a bull market. In terms of pattern, it closely resembles the trends seen in the deep bear markets of 2018 and 2022. This is not coincidental; statistically, it signals a clear continuation of the downtrend.
**Valuation is Interesting** The Put-Call Ratio has returned to 0.83, falling below the 1.0 threshold. The bubble is indeed being squeezed out, and assets have entered an undervalued zone. But here’s a caution— the historical low is around 0.5 (the point where miners capitulate), and we haven't reached that level yet. In other words, there is still room for further decline.
**Market Capital Flow Reality** Overall, exchanges are experiencing net outflows, with only a few top platforms maintaining their reserves. The market is currently in a risk-averse, shrinking state—everyone is guarding their own money.
Combining these three dimensions, we can basically get a true picture of Bitcoin's current liquidity.
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FlashLoanPrince
· 5h ago
The Poole coefficient line at 0.83 hasn't actually reached the point where miners give up yet. Should we continue to push downward?
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fren_with_benefits
· 5h ago
Hmm... So a Poole coefficient of 0.83 isn't the bottom yet? Can the miner capitulation line at 0.5 really be reached?
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FloorSweeper
· 5h ago
Will that 0.5 line really be touched? It feels like everyone is now betting on the bottom, no one dares to really copy.
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FlatlineTrader
· 5h ago
0.83 this level is indeed scary, but miners haven't given up yet, indicating that the bottom is still far away.
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Rekt_Recovery
· 5h ago
ngl the poolfundamentals hitting 0.83 is giving me 2018 flashbacks... still remember watching my stack get liquidated at 3.6x leverage lmao. the real question tho—are we actually bottoming or just another rug pull before the actual pain? Exchange net outflows sound very bearish, but every time I hear that, the market actually... Never mind, I'll keep quiet for now.
#比特币流动性 Looking at recent monthly data and the performance of the Put-Call Ratio, combined with the capital flow situation on exchanges, here are some conclusions:
**Trend Aspect**
The consecutive decline in Q4 last year, especially the 17.67% plunge in November, shattered many people's expectations of a bull market. In terms of pattern, it closely resembles the trends seen in the deep bear markets of 2018 and 2022. This is not coincidental; statistically, it signals a clear continuation of the downtrend.
**Valuation is Interesting**
The Put-Call Ratio has returned to 0.83, falling below the 1.0 threshold. The bubble is indeed being squeezed out, and assets have entered an undervalued zone. But here’s a caution— the historical low is around 0.5 (the point where miners capitulate), and we haven't reached that level yet. In other words, there is still room for further decline.
**Market Capital Flow Reality**
Overall, exchanges are experiencing net outflows, with only a few top platforms maintaining their reserves. The market is currently in a risk-averse, shrinking state—everyone is guarding their own money.
Combining these three dimensions, we can basically get a true picture of Bitcoin's current liquidity.