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#资产代币化浪潮 The 1-hour market data is about to break, and the opportunity window for long positions has opened.
During this period, I have gained a lot from monitoring the market data, and the 1-hour level charts are becoming increasingly interesting. The price is testing back and forth between the EMA dense zone and the middle Bollinger band, with long positions and shorts tightly locked in at this position—whenever such pressure occurs, it is usually a prelude to a major trend.
There are several details in the technical analysis that absolutely cannot be overlooked. Although the MACD is consolidating near the zero line, the fast and slow lines have already crossed upwards twice below the water level, and the bearish momentum bars are clearly weakening, which means that the bears are running out of steam. At the same time, the 4-hour MA30 and the current price are forming a resonance support, with the exchange's buy orders quietly piling up. The Bollinger Bands have already tightened to their recent most constricted state – once this relaxes, historical experience tells us that it usually leads to a one-sided market trend of more than 3%.
On-chain data is more interesting. The exchange's BTC balance has seen a net outflow of over 12,000 coins for three consecutive days, with large holders secretly withdrawing coins. This week, 8 new addresses holding more than 1,000 coins have been added, indicating that smart money is building positions at this moment. The perpetual contract funding rate has returned to neutral, and the leverage liquidation hotspot has shifted from the bottom to the top—once this pressure zone is broken, a chain reaction will occur in no time.
What about the catalyst? Today's remarks from Federal Reserve officials could be a turning point. If the tone is dovish, combined with the fact that there is a significant accumulation of call options at the $72,000 level in the options market, the main players have plenty of ammunition, and there is every reason to push upward.
My personal judgment is: the current fluctuation is a typical accumulation. Consider making long positions in batches within the range of the 1-hour EMA7 and the lower Bollinger Band, with a stop loss set 300 points below the previous low. The first target is aimed at the previous high pressure zone; if it can break through, it will accelerate towards the area of $71,000 to $73,000. Market sentiment has shifted from extreme fear to early greed; waiting for everyone to shout long positions is the choice of wise people—those who truly benefit are always the ones who decisively take action in silence.