XRP contrasts sharply with the 2017 cycle, with technical indicators suggesting a new upward trend is forming.

Technical analysts have observed that XRP’s monthly chart exhibits structural features highly similar to the 2017 bull market cycle. At that time, XRP formed a massive symmetrical triangle compression zone between 2014 and 2017, followed by a breakout that triggered a historic rally. The current chart pattern shows the same compression-breakout pattern reappearing.

Historical Echoes of the Chart Pattern

XRP has broken through a long-term downtrend line, accompanied by clearly expanding candles. This breakout is significant on the monthly level, indicating that the price has escaped years of suppression. According to fractal analysis, such breakouts typically begin with a short-term consolidation phase (the market’s “blue zone”) used to accumulate the momentum needed for the next upward move.

Signals from the RSI Indicator

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the monthly level currently shows a key signal. From historical data, XRP’s RSI has only approached the 80 level during two periods:

• 2017: Just before the final surge
• 2025 (current): Along with the latest breakout

The current RSI pattern suggests a short-term correction after a rally, followed by a potentially stronger new upward phase. This indicator behavior closely matches the critical point of the previous cycle.

Fractal Projection of Price Targets

If XRP maintains the breakout and avoids a deep retracement, based on the fractal mapping of the 2017 upward path, the price could extend upward along the historical trajectory. Analyzing the rise from the breakout point, analysts estimate XRP could reach levels of $45.

This forecast is based on the multiples of the price increase experienced from similar compression-breakout points in past cycles.

Key Market Watchpoints

Currently, XRP is at a critical technical position. Traders are waiting for the following confirmation signals:

• Whether the monthly level remains above the new breakout point
• Whether the short-term consolidation unfolds as expected by the fractal
• Whether a stronger upward momentum develops subsequently

XRP is currently priced at $1.83, down 0.75% in the past 24 hours. From a cyclical analysis perspective, such a correction is normal in historical patterns and does not indicate a failed breakout.

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