On the 19th, Japan may raise interest rates. In the short term, the crypto market is biased bearish. Focus on these key points👇

💥 Critical risk points are here
Japan's long-term low interest rates have led to a large amount of global funds borrowing yen for carry trades, flowing into high-risk assets like Bitcoin.
Once interest rates are raised, carry trades reverse, funds flow back into yen, and risk assets often decline first.
Historical performance is very clear:
After each rate hike in Japan, Bitcoin typically experiences a short-term correction of 20%–30%, usually within a few weeks.
Market expectations this time:
On the 19th, interest rates may be raised to 0.75%, with roughly two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ The negative factors are not fully priced in: rates continue to decline after the hike
2️⃣ The negative factors are already reflected: a technical rebound occurs with “selling the rumor, buying the fact”
👉 In one sentence:
Japan's rate hike is short-term bearish, not long-term bearish.
Trading strategy:
Reduce positions in the next couple of days, avoid heavy positions and aggressive moves.
Focus on monitoring the USD/JPY exchange rate and US stock performance.
Wait for the market to give a direction before deciding to enter or exit.
Stability is more important than speed.
#加密市场观察 #加密王先生