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The Bank of Japan, this super whale, is brewing a massive turnaround. According to sources, the Bank of Japan is expected to initiate its ETF reduction plan as early as next month, involving up to 83 trillion yen (approximately $534 billion), with a book value of 37.1 trillion yen.
The most interesting part here is the pacing of the exit—the Bank of Japan is adopting an extremely cautious strategy to avoid market shocks. Maintaining its set monthly sale pace, it will take a full 112 years to complete this massive reduction. In other words, from next month until the end of this century, the Bank of Japan will continue to sell these assets in small, steady amounts.
This ultra-long-term reduction plan sends a clear signal: the Bank of Japan is preparing for a long-term policy shift but does not want to trigger market turbulence. For global asset allocation, this slow yet certain liquidity release will become a long-term variable worth watching.