Will “#الفيدرالي ” Surprise the Markets in Its Decisive Meeting?

▪️ Markets are closely watching the US Federal Reserve meeting this week, the last one in a highly sensitive year that has witnessed a series of pivotal developments in markets and policy, amid an economic environment still saturated with uncertainty.

▪️ At the heart of this anticipation, market bets are increasing on the Fed moving toward lowering interest rates—a scenario that has become mainstream, being priced in by major financial institutions and markets.

▪️ Traders estimate an 87.6% probability that #الفائدة will cut rates by 25 basis points in December, according to the #FedWatch tool from CME Group. Most major global brokerage firms expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.

▪️ The next Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting is scheduled for December 9-10. However, what follows the decision is equally important, as all eyes turn to the much-anticipated speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, searching for any forward-looking signals regarding the path of monetary policy in the coming months. Between the lines of his remarks, markets shape their expectations, build scenarios, and largely determine the direction of risk in the next phase.

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