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#美国就业市场数据 This employment data is really surprising. I originally thought there would be a rate cut by the end of the year, but it seems unlikely now. The predictions of Morgan Stanley analysts make a lot of sense; strong employment has indeed reduced the risk of rising unemployment rates. It now appears that the possibility of a rate cut once in January, April, and June next year is greater.
In this case, I have to readjust the copy trading strategy. The previous bet on interest rate cuts by the end of the year may have to be accepted, but it can't be completely denied. After all, the market is always full of variables; who can guarantee that there will definitely be a rate cut at the beginning of next year?
My suggestion is that for friends with a strong risk tolerance, they can continue to maintain moderate leverage, but should closely monitor the monthly employment data. For conservative investors, it may be wise to drop their positions and diversify their funds into assets of different cycles. Remember, never put all your eggs in one basket.
This experience once again proves that even the most skilled analysts can make mistakes in their judgments. Therefore, when following trades, we must have our own opinions and cannot blindly follow others. After all, in this market, only practice can yield true knowledge.