When I saw the news last night, I was watching the market, and my hand almost trembled—this feeling last occurred during the LUNA crash. Experienced traders know that such sudden news often hides big opportunities, but it could also be a deep pit.

Let me tell you something. Last year, when the CPI data exploded, as soon as the hawkish signal came out, the market collapsed. I know a guy who reacted quickly; he shorted with all his holdings five minutes before the crash and made his entire annual income that night. Looking back now, has a similar turning point arrived again?

The change of the Federal Reserve chairman is neither a big deal nor a small one. On a positive note: a new person taking office may mean a shift in policy. If a dovish figure comes in, the market will immediately be excited. Do you remember that wave of operations in 2018? After the new chairman took over, the market panicked in the short term, but then it entered a three-year bull market. History always has a way of repeating itself.

But the risks are also present: a sudden change in leadership will inevitably trigger short-term panic. Although the previous leader was tough, at least the market knew how he would play his cards. Now, with an unknown factor coming in, the most critical issue is this uncertainty - you can't predict what will happen next.

The cryptocurrency market is most sensitive to macro policies; even a slight change in interest rate expectations can shift the flow of funds dramatically. Now the question arises: are you prepared to position yourself in advance to bet on a turnaround, or will you wait and see until the dust settles? In times like these, position management is more important than predicting direction.

To be honest, I am also struggling with whether to adjust my position. The market is like a fully stretched spring, just waiting for a trigger point. What do you think?