🎈 Market Phase Summary: #BTC



💡30 minutes 💡

There is no doubt that it is a bearish structure, in the departure stage of an expanding 9-segment upgrade of the 4-hour central point. It is currently in a rebound on a 30-minute three-segment trend, which means that if the decline extends, the minimum rebound structure here has been completed, and it can end perfectly at any moment. To be more direct: it can slide down at any time. How feasible is this trend? Let's analyze it at a lower time frame.

💡5 minutes 💡

The purple central pivot is a non-level 30-minute pivot, while the red central pivot is a same-level 5-minute pivot. It can be seen that we are currently in a pullback after a secondary trend divergence in a non-divergent movement phase. This pullback penetrates the central pivot, creating a strong bearish dynamic structure. At least we can expect a downward movement for a segment of 5 minutes, or even a downward trend. Therefore, at this level, the main opportunity is the extension of the decline, which means going short. Once this decline completes, we will decide whether to go long based on the destructive impact on adjacent movements according to the landing point. Now, we can look at the lowest level of 1 minute to see how to accurately lock in the short entry point.

💡1 minute 💡

Currently in a central area with a downward shift in the center of gravity, this is the pullback of the ninth segment within the central area, near the three sell points. Therefore, the trading opportunity here is very clear: bearish sentiment is emerging below the central area, and entering a short position with the target being the segment moving away from the central area. In fact, if the trading instinct is good, there have already been three or four short positions taken here since the setup. If we consider the three sell points, this might be the last opportunity to short in this 1F trend. The trading process, following a more systematic approach, is roughly: first type of buying point for the base position, second type of buying point for adding positions, third type of buying point for chasing positions. The position ratio is roughly 1:1:1 or 1:2:2.

Trading Advice: Maintain short positions for 30 minutes, with short emergence at 5 minutes and short extension at 1 minute. A reasonable entry plan is to first enter the 1-minute extension segment, exit, then wait for the second sell at 5 minutes, re-enter the 5-minute extension segment, and then observe the destructive decision at 30 minutes to determine whether to continue short or go long.
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