Bitcoin surged to 90,000 dollars, is the next event Christmas or Christmas crisis?

This Thanksgiving, people in the crypto world can finally celebrate with a smile—Bitcoin has surged back to $90,000. But behind the festivities, a question starts to emerge: this coming Christmas, will we be receiving gifts or getting cut?

1. The Federal Reserve suddenly "changed its stance," and the market exploded.

Just a week ago, the market thought there was no chance of a rate cut in December, with a probability of only 20%. But in the past two days, the situation has changed dramatically, with the latest data showing the probability of a rate cut soaring to 86%! This surprise comeback has directly ignited the market.

Why the sudden shift? A "Brown Paper" reveals the truth:

The U.S. job market has cooled: half of the businesses in the regions clearly stated that "if they can avoid hiring, they will."

Common people are tightening their wallets: even hot items like electric vehicles are not selling well.

Businesses are caught in the middle: costs are rising, but consumers refuse to pay.

2. The world is crazily "printing money".

Not only the United States, but major economies around the world are also injecting liquidity:

Japan is making the most extravagant move, issuing 11.5 trillion yen in new debt, which is double the amount from last year. As a result, the yen continues to fall, and funds are looking for places to go, with some flowing into cryptocurrencies.

The UK is in a worse situation, borrowing £117 billion in 7 months, comparable to the scale of the 2008 bailout. Experts directly warn: if this continues, the pound will collapse.

When all countries are printing money madly, Bitcoin, as a fixed-supply asset, has become a safe haven.

3. Key Moment: Will the Christmas Market Come?

Historical data is compelling: over the past 73 years, the Christmas rally in the US stock market has had a win rate of nearly 80%. Moreover, if there is a rise during Christmas, it often indicates that the following year will not be too bad.

The correlation between the crypto market and the US stock market is extremely high right now. If the US stock market begins the Christmas rally, Bitcoin is likely to rise even more sharply.

My judgment: The fundamentals have turned positive, and the Christmas market is worth looking forward to. But remember to control your positions and not get lost in the frenzy.

In this era of global monetary expansion, Bitcoin is迎来 its critical moment. With Christmas approaching, will you choose to believe in historical patterns, or worry about becoming a "sacrifice" of the holiday?

What retail investors need to do is "patiently wait for opportunities, act decisively and steadily." Follow Liang Ge to receive daily shared real-time strategies + loss prevention guidelines!