2025-11-27 04:23:22

$BTC The White House economic advisor Hassett's remark "I will cut interest rates as soon as I take office" has directly ignited the market. Is the probability of a rate cut in December soaring to 85%? U.S. Treasury yields breaking 4%? Is there really someone brave enough to write this script?

What is the market betting on now? Three things:

The game of power is fermenting. If dovish figures really take over the Federal Reserve, a 100 basis point rate cut in 2026 is not a pipe dream. If the century-old independent system loosens, and the key to the money printing machine changes hands, where do you think the funds will flow?

Economic data is no longer concealing the truth. Employment data has exploded, retail growth has stalled, and the signals of cooling are so obvious that the market has long been giving the Federal Reserve a way out. Currently, the interest rates are still at 3.75%-4.00%. Will they drop to 3.50%-3.75% by the end of the year? Let's let the data speak.

The crypto side has already caught the scent. $ETH, $SOL, $ZEC have been making moves recently, and Vitalik held a late-night live stream discussing privacy upgrades. Once the technical narrative catches up, combined with liquidity expectations, this wave is not just talk.

But —

The internal conflict within the Federal Reserve is intense now, with three major factions each having their own agendas. If inflation turns around, this expectation will instantly reverse, and it won't be a correction, but a bloodbath.

What should I do?
Smart money has moved early. Keep a close eye on mainstream coins with technical upgrades and real-world applications, don't just chase trends. The data vacuum period is the easiest time for unexpected issues to arise, so don't go all in on your positions, leave some room to respond.

The story of liquidity has just begun, but don't forget - there are still the minutes from the meetings of those old foxes at the Federal Reserve separating expectation from reality.

BTC2.41%

ZEC8.37%

ETH6.28%

SOL3.36%

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ExpectationFarmer

· 11-29 21:31

As soon as the interest rate cut expectations explode, encryption starts to get restless, this routine has been played for a few years now. Hassett's words, whether true or not, still need to be seen in the year-end data. The Fed's internal struggle, we suffer along, don't get played for suckers. SOL's rise this time is a bit fierce, it feels like another pullback is coming. With the money printer changing hands, where will the funds go? It still depends on whether the technicals hold up. If inflation turns around, it's game over, those who are all in now better be ready to cry. The liquidity story has been heard three times already, but the key still lies in having real application support. Power games are still power games, I still trust the data more. This wave of real estate, wait a bit longer to enter a position for more safety. Expectations and reality are worlds apart, the Fed's meeting minutes are the real killer weapon.

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BuyTheTop

· 11-27 12:45

Haxit's mouth is so open that it directly pushes everyone's chips up. Wait, how is this 85% probability calculated? It feels like it's always this high, and then what? Cutting interest rates by 100bp? Dream on, inflation will explode with a rebound. Mainstream Tokens are indeed moving, but is this wave really driven by technology or just a pure liquidity game? One must be aware of it. Don't be too full on your Position, the folks at the Fed can flip the whole story at any moment.

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BTCBeliefStation

· 11-27 10:09

Hasset's statement is really outrageous, if the money printer really changes hands, I will go all in directly. If inflation turns around, we're done for, don't be fooled by the liquidity story. What is Vitalik Buterin doing, can the technical narrative withstand the old fox from the Fed? I feel like this wave is just a go long expectation, if it really falls, we have to run. Wait a minute, why is ZEC also being mentioned, is the privacy coin going to be popular again? The analysis from the poster is indeed clear-headed, those who are all in should be panicking now. The data vacuum period is indeed the easiest time for trouble to arise, I was so scared that I quickly reduced my position. A 100 basis point rate cut is not a pipe dream... dreaming, inflation has something to cry about.

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ContractTester

· 11-27 04:53

The expectation of interest rate cuts cannot keep up with the reversal of inflation, and when the time comes, it will be a bloodbath. The people at the Fed can't get on the same page at all. Vitalik Buterin's current technical narrative is just laying the groundwork for the heat. Don't be fooled by the 85% probability; political promises have never equated to interest rate cuts. Wait to see the year-end data; those who are going all in now have a gambler's mentality. Only Mainstream Tokens with technical foundations are worth following; the rest are just passing the buck. The liquidity story sounds nice, but once the meeting minutes come out, it could all reverse.

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FOMOSapien

· 11-27 04:51

Haxit's words are really amazing, directly injecting excitement into the crypto world. Interest rate cut of 100 basis points? A new owner for the printing press? I'm just waiting to see. BTC and Ether are both stirring, but to be honest, if inflation rebounds, it will be a disaster. Don't go all in, really.

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Degen4Breakfast

· 11-27 04:46

Hasset really dares to say this. If the money printer really changes hands, I'll completely lie flat. --- 85% probability? This number looks precarious to me. The old foxes at the Fed love to go against the trend. --- It's both a power game and a rate cut. To put it bluntly, it's just betting on funds flowing into encryption. --- ETH and SOL have been interesting lately, just waiting to see if inflation will stir things up. --- I’ve heard "don’t go all in" so much that my ears are calloused, but the risks are indeed not small. --- When you hear talk of cutting rates by 100 basis points, just take it lightly. If it really goes reverse, everyone will suffer. --- The liquidity story has just begun, and they’re already digging pits. Smart money is clever but also quite fragile. --- When US bonds break 4%, the market starts to fantasize. Wake up, everyone. --- Just a question: when inflation really comes back to wipe out your position, who will save you? --- No matter how fancy the talk about technology upgrades is, it won't change the direction of policy; that's the key.

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LongTermDreamer

· 11-27 04:43

I was talking about this logic three years ago, but I got slapped in the face, haha. Now finally someone is listening.

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rugged_again

· 11-27 04:40

With the expectations of interest rate cuts being so hotly speculated, one unfavourable information may directly shatter it, and at that time, these people will all have to cut loss.

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HashBrownies

· 11-27 04:37

I don't believe there's an 85% chance; the Fed plays psychological warfare, and the promised interest rate cuts always change at the last moment. With the money printer changing hands, retail investors should wake up; this wave of liquidity dividends is not for us. $SOL has indeed been interesting these past few days, but if the technical narrative doesn’t keep up, it’s just air; don’t be fooled by Vitalik Buterin's late-night livestream. Wait, if inflation is going to rebound, we really can't hold this little position; it’s safer to reduce some pressure first. I've heard the term 'bloodbath' too many times; every time they say it, it’s never that exaggerated, but this time feels a bit different?

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ReverseTrendSister

· 11-27 04:25

Once Hasset said this, the market really couldn't sit still. Wait, with such intense internal conflict at the Fed, can they really lower interest rates smoothly? It feels like there will be another reversal by then. Mainstream tokens have indeed been stirring recently, but can this wave of liquidity last until the end of the year? Damn, don't let it be another script of rate cuts in dreams and bloodbaths in reality. The money printing machine has a new owner, and the encryption side will definitely be the first to dance, but we need to keep an eye on inflation as the killer.

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