Someone's bullish on that reply, but let's check the reality.

MicroStrategy just scooped up another 8,000 BTC. Trump put pen to paper on that strategic reserve executive order. Sounds bullish, right? Here's the catch—ETF money's walking out the door. Not rumors, actual outflows.

For BTC to hit 50k from here? We'd need some serious black swan event. Something nobody's pricing in yet. The chart might look tempting, but when institutional money's flowing the wrong direction despite positive headlines, that's telling you something.

The disconnect between policy moves and capital flows is getting hard to ignore. MSTR keeps stacking, but the broader market's showing hesitation. Until those ETF redemptions flip, or we get that unexpected catalyst, 50k feels like wishful thinking rather than technical probability.