Tracking real-time crypto market hotspots and capturing the best trading opportunities — today is Monday, November 24, 2025. I’m Wang Yibo!

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With only 6 days left in November, crypto market volatility has reached a new peak. The main driver behind this intense price action is the dramatic flip in expectations for a Fed rate cut.

Over the past two days, optimism for a December rate cut cooled rapidly, and the probability of a cut dropped below 30%, triggering a sharp Bitcoin correction to the 80,000 level. Retail panic selling dominated.

However — everything changed on November 21.

A dovish speech from the Fed’s No.3 official completely reversed market sentiment. The probability of a 25bps December rate cut suddenly surged to 69.4%, with the chance of no change falling to 30.6%. Looking ahead, January’s cumulative probabilities now show:

56.9% chance of a 25bps cut

22.3% chance of a 50bps cut

During this fierce tug-of-war between bulls and bears, retail traders were forced out, while institutions quietly accumulated. Bitcoin then blasted through 88,000, perfectly reflecting the complexity of market manipulation.

Stay tuned with Yibo for live crypto insights!

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Bitcoin Analysis

After testing the 80,000 support last Friday, Bitcoin didn’t break down. Instead, it entered a slow and steady upward consolidation channel.

Key movements:

Yesterday’s low: 84,200

Midday rebound peak: 86,800

Minor dip: 85,500 consolidation

New high this morning: 88,094

Currently undergoing a mild corrective pullback

For the trend ahead:

Bullish scenario:
A breakout above 88,500 with strong volume could open the door for further upside and strengthen the short-term uptrend.

Bearish scenario:
If pullback pressure continues, watch the middle Bollinger support at 86,500–86,000.

From a technical viewpoint, BTC’s price structure + volume remain firmly bullish in the short term. Just focus on the breakout strength at key resistance levels to catch the rhythm.

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Ethereum Analysis

After its earlier correction, Ethereum has shown even stronger rebound momentum.

Recent movements:

Friday low: 2,621

Immediate rebound to 2,805

Saturday consolidation near 2,700

Yesterday’s high: 2,857

Now stabilizing around 2,800

Market sentiment is improving as panic fades and bullish confidence strengthens.

Technically:

On the 1-hour chart, all three Bollinger Bands are expanding upward

ETH has successfully broken above and held above the upper band

This forms a classic strong upward channel

Overall, ETH is likely to maintain a steady rise within a consolidation-upward rhythm, with further upside potential still in play.
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