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Don't remind me again today

#比特币波动性 encountered an interesting case last year.



After someone went abroad and entered the market with hundreds of thousands in funds, their assets have now risen to several tens of millions. At that time, I was enduring a period of significant drawdown in my account, and after listening to his trading logic, it felt like my cognitive system was forcibly rebooted.

During that chat, he just dropped a line: "The essence of this market is an emotional game; whoever can control their hands will win."

I later reviewed his operation records and distilled a few key judgment logics.

**The Truth About Emotions**
Speculating on cryptocurrencies is essentially speculating on consensus. Don't focus on those complex indicators; market psychology is the core variable. Trading volume is the thermometer of consensus strength.

**Bottom Trap**
Don't get too excited about a single instance of increased volume; it might be a false signal. You need to observe if there is increased volume over several consecutive days, which indicates that the shares are genuinely circulating. Only then will the probability of success when entering the market be higher.

**The Cryptocurrency of Sudden Rises and Falls**
Rising sharply and falling slowly? It’s highly likely that someone is collecting chips. On the contrary, if it falls hard but rebounds weakly, that means funds are retreating, so don’t foolishly take over.

**The Two Faces at the Top**
High volume at a high position may still have potential, indicating that funds are in a game of chance; however, if the trading volume at a high position shrinks, it means the momentum is weakening, and it’s time to run.

**"Empty" character mantra**
No greed, no attachment, no panic. Only those who can wait with an empty position are worthy of benefiting from major market movements.

**The toughest enemy**
Policy news and the movements of major players are just superficial. What truly causes you to lose money is the fluctuations within your own mind and the psychology of taking chances.

After all—

The volatility of the crypto market is indeed very high, with risks and opportunities coexisting. To survive here, one must first learn to control their emotional responses and replace the gambler's mindset with probabilistic thinking.

Those who can make stable profits rely not on the accuracy of predictions, but on execution discipline and risk control systems. The market will provide opportunities, but only for those who are prepared.
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RektHuntervip
· 11-25 16:47
Ha, this guy turned hundreds of thousands into tens of millions, I just can't take it. I'm now the one forced to restart. I've heard the phrase 'control your hands' a hundred times, but I just can't do it. Waiting with a Short Position? Easy to say, but my mindset just collapses. The trading volume thermometer metaphor is not bad, but I feel like most of the time it's just the market maker putting on a show. This trap theory sounds right, but when it comes to the actual trading moment, my mind is just a mess. To put it bluntly, it's still a self-discipline issue; can't blame the market. Why do I feel like he's showing off, haha. The risk control system sounds easy, but building it is really something. That's why most people in the crypto world are here to give away money.
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NFTArchaeologistvip
· 11-25 03:56
Tens of millions? Alright, that guy is definitely a badass.
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Layer2Arbitrageurvip
· 11-25 02:34
lol everyone talks about "controlling emotions" but nobody mentions the gas costs eating your edge. that's the real enemy tbh. saw someone miss a 400bps arbitrage window just because they were emotionally holding instead of delta neutral. tragic.
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TokenAlchemistvip
· 11-23 07:50
nah this reads like every trader's post-loss rationalization, but volume profile inefficiencies do hit different when you actually decode the liquidity dynamics... that "hand discipline" bit's cap tho, execution beats sentiment every time if you're routing through proper MEV resistance structures
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NullWhisperervip
· 11-23 07:49
technically speaking, the whole "emotion management" angle is just symptom-level thinking. the real vulnerability here? most traders can't distinguish between signal noise and actual consensus shifts. anyone dumping their entire thesis on volume patterns alone deserves what's coming, ngl.
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LiquiditySurfervip
· 11-23 07:48
To be honest, people with unsteady hands are just like suckers with a knife to their necks here. Controlling your hands is really a hundred times harder than understanding Candlestick charts, there's no doubt about that. I learned the hard way that waiting in a Short Position is the most comfortable posture for me now. The Trading Volume is indeed a thermometer, I acknowledge that.
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MoodFollowsPricevip
· 11-23 07:45
Turning a few hundred thousand into several million? Oh my, why don't I ever have that kind of luck, haha. --- Controlling your impulses is truly a killer move—easy to say, insanely hard to do. --- I've heard "wait on the sidelines" countless times, but when the market comes alive, I still get itchy hands. --- "Emotional game" is spot on, but who can really be free of greed and attachment? --- I've noted down the "weak on the drop" judgment. I'll try it next time I see it. --- Bull traps are deadly; only consecutive high volume counts. That logic actually makes sense. --- Consistent profits depend on discipline, and that's exactly what I lack. --- Watching others multiply their money into millions just makes my own account sting even more, hahaha. --- You should run when volume dries up at the top—I'll make sure to remember this move. --- Your own emotional swings are the biggest enemy. So true.
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HodlOrRegretvip
· 11-23 07:34
Wow, tens of millions? Why am I still Tied Up, haha --- Waiting in a Short Position is really hard, I can't seem to change my impulsive habits --- "Whoever can control their hands will win," this sentence hit me right in the heart --- Another story where others are making a fortune while I'm eating dirt, but it does make sense --- The analogy of Trading Volume being a thermometer is something I need to remember, it's much better than looking at all those chaotic indicators --- The last sentence is brilliant, the market only rewards those who are prepared --- A decrease in volume at high positions is the real signal to run, remember that, brother --- The emotional game is spot on, I'm the one who got ruined by my own mindset
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ser_we_are_ngmivip
· 11-23 07:32
Operational discipline? Ha, easier said than done, bro.
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