#美股2026展望 Friday’s market really took volatility to the extreme.

During the day, prices plunged all the way down like a waterfall—$BTC dropped as low as around 80,600, and $ETH also broke below 2,620. After a brief test in the afternoon and another new low in the evening, the market finally started to slowly consolidate and recover. Prices climbed as high as 85,500, and ETH rebounded to the 2,805 area.

If you shorted with the trend in the morning, you should have made a decent profit. Three rounds of shorts on BTC yielded over 7,000 points, and two rounds on ETH secured a solid 270 points. As for the short position in the evening, the volatility was so rapid and the direction unclear, so taking profits early was wise. In such a clear downtrend, shorting isn’t all that difficult—as long as you follow the market.

Looking at the structure, the bearish logic is still clear:

**Trend:** Prices are still in a downward channel; rebounds are just technical corrections.
**Sentiment:** Panic is spreading, and risk-averse capital is pulling out.
**Macro:** Uncertainty and tightening policies are still limiting upside for risk assets.

The US stock market opening tonight might bring a brief rebound, but it’s more of a technical correction and won’t change the mid-term direction. Blindly bottom-fishing will just get you stuck halfway up the mountain—going with the trend is the key to navigating the volatility.

**Trading strategy:**

$BTC: Go short on rallies in the 85,000–85,500 range, targeting around 83,000.

$ETH: Light shorts around 2,830, with the 2,700 support level as your target.

Put simply, until the trend breaks, bearish sentiment remains dominant. Market bottoms are never guessed—they’re formed by real, tangible declines.