Intrinsic value vs. market price: The essential difference investors must understand

Many people face a dilemma when buying stocks or cryptocurrencies: Is this thing really worth this price? The answer is hidden within the concepts of “intrinsic value” and “market price.”

What is intrinsic value?

Intrinsic value = the “real worth” you calculate based on fundamentals. Ignore candlestick charts, news, and hype; focus on whether the company is profitable, its future growth potential, and its competitiveness.

For example, analyze a company’s cash flow, growth rate, industry position, then use a discounted cash flow model to estimate how much money it will make in the future and what that is worth today.

Core advantage: It helps you cut through short-term noise and focus on long-term value.

What is market price?

Market price = the price you can sell at right now, determined by supply and demand.

You see the price on candlestick charts, exchange quotes, and market cap rankings—these are all market prices. They fluctuate in real-time based on:

• Economic data (GDP, unemployment rate, inflation)
• Public sentiment (a single tweet can cause a sell-off)
• Unexpected events (policy changes, black swan events)
• Company news (financial reports, management changes)

Characteristics: Visible in real-time, but easily influenced by emotions.

4 key differences

1. Emotional influence

• Market prices can be driven by FOMO or panic, causing sharp rises or drops
• Intrinsic value remains relatively stable, unaffected by short-term fluctuations

2. Calculation difficulty

• Market price: visible instantly on exchanges
• Intrinsic value: requires complex calculations; even analysts may disagree

3. Investment decisions

• Use intrinsic value for bottom-fishing or profit-taking (buy undervalued, sell overvalued)
• Use market price to assess liquidity and market trends

4. External factors

• Policies, interest rates, geopolitical events can change market prices
• Sometimes, the gap between market price and intrinsic value creates arbitrage opportunities

How to use these two indicators?

Combining both makes sense:

• Market price > Intrinsic value → possibly overvalued (risk)
• Market price < Intrinsic value → possibly undervalued (opportunity)
• Both close → relatively fair

Bottom line: Intrinsic value is your “rational reference,” market price is the actual transaction price. Looking at both helps you navigate the market more clearly.