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Bitcoin ETF Flows Reveal BlackRock Carries Entire Market

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Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick told a news outlet that inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs drove Bitcoin price momentum in 2025. The data reveals one firm’s outsized influence on crypto investment products.

Investment Impact for Altcoin ETF Products

BlackRock will not participate in the wave of altcoin ETFs awaiting approval. Lunde stated this absence will likely limit overall flows to these new products.

The altcoin ETF market faces approval decisions in October 2025. Multiple applications for Solana, XRP, and Litecoin await regulatory clearance. Analysts estimate 95% approval odds for these products by year end.

JPMorgan predicts Solana ETFs could attract $3 billion to $6 billion in investments. XRP ETFs may garner $4 billion to $8 billion based on Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF adoption rates. These projections assume institutional participation similar to earlier crypto ETF launches.

Market Structure and Competitive Dynamics

The concentration of Bitcoin ETF inflows creates concerns about market stability. One firm accounting for all positive flows represents a single point of failure. Competitors have struggled to attract comparable institutional capital despite offering similar products.

Bitget analyst Ryan Lee expects the first Solana staking ETF to attract $6 billion within its first year. This optimism assumes institutional investors will embrace altcoin exposure through regulated vehicles. Bitcoin ETFs achieved a 6% adoption rate during their first six months while Ethereum ETFs reached only 3%.

The disparity suggests altcoin ETFs may face adoption challenges. BlackRock’s established relationships with institutional clients give it distribution advantages. Smaller asset managers lack these connections despite filing competitive products. The REX Osprey Solana Staking ETF launched in July 2025 with $150 million in assets under management.

Prediction markets show 99% odds for Solana ETF approval before 2025 ends. XRP approval probability stands at 87% on these platforms. Regulatory clarity has improved following policy changes at the SEC. The streamlined approval process now takes 75 days compared to 270 days previously.

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