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Sure, no problem! Let's break down what Powell said last night in plain language, just like we're having a casual chat.
The core message is simple: The boss (Powell) comes out to reassure everyone, meaning "Don't panic, the situation isn't great, but we're preparing to step in to help."
1. About interest rates (the most concerning issue)
Official statement: "We do not have a predetermined path; we will take it step by step."
In plain language: "We won't make any definitive statements, and we can't guarantee that there will be a rate cut next time or not. But you understand, given the current situation, it is very likely that we will announce a rate cut at our next meeting (end of October)." The market also understands this and feels that a rate cut is basically a done deal.
2. About the economy and work
Official statement: The economy is doing well, but the job market has cooled down, and risks have increased.
In simple terms: "The economy as a whole is still fairly solid and hasn't collapsed. However, finding a job has become more difficult, and companies are less enthusiastic about hiring. What we fear the most is widespread unemployment, so we need to keep an eye on this and provide help where needed."
3. About Price Increase (Inflation)
Official statement: Long-term inflation expectations remain stable, and price increases are primarily due to tariffs.
In simple terms: "Prices are not rising as crazily as before. Although the tariffs imposed by Trump have made some things more expensive, overall, prices are not skyrocketing like they did last year. So, in terms of price increases, the pressure has eased a bit."
4. About "Tapering" (a higher-level operation)
Official statement: Quantitative tightening may be nearing its end.
In simple terms: "Apart from lowering interest rates, which is like 'opening the floodgates', we also have an operation of 'taking back some of the water that was previously released' (quantitative tightening). We are preparing to stop this action of taking back the water. In other words, we will no longer withdraw money from the market so aggressively, which can also be seen as a form of indirect assistance."
To summarize, what impact does it have on us?
You can think of the Federal Reserve as the "head steward" of the economy.
1. The signal is clear: Powell feels that the economy (mainly employment) has cooled down a bit, so he is ready to "turn on the heating" (cut interest rates). This is usually good news for the stock market, which is why U.S. stocks rose last night.
2. Not just "turning on the heating": he is also preparing to "turn off a dehumidifier" (stop the balance sheet reduction), to make the air in the room (market funds) a bit more humid. This is a dual protection.
3. Your impact: If the United States starts to cut interest rates, global funds will breathe a sigh of relief. It may lead to:
Your stocks and funds (especially those related to US and Hong Kong stocks) performed a bit better.
In the future, the interest pressure on your loans (such as mortgage loans and business loans) will be a bit lower.
The money in the bank may also earn less interest.
In plain terms, Powell came out last night to tell everyone: We see the risks, the toolbox is already open, and reinforcements are on the way!
Is this clearer? If there's anything else you don't understand, feel free to ask me anytime! #GT2025第三季度销毁完成