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1. Core Coin Selection (Based on Liquidity and Volatility Dual Criteria)
1. BTC/USDT: The market consensus is the strongest, with a stable trading volume exceeding $5 billion in 24 hours, volatility usually maintained at 8%-15%, making it the "safe anchor" for contract trading, capable of bearing core positions.
2. ETH/USDT: The second largest by market capitalization, catalyzed by events such as Layer2 upgrades, with short-term Fluctuation elasticity higher than BTC, and a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $2 billion, making it suitable for combination trading with BTC.
3. SOL/USDT: A high-growth mainstream coin, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $500 million, volatility often reaching over 12%, which can amplify strategy returns, but position size must be controlled.
2. Core Parameters of Contract Strategy (15-Minute Ultra-Short-Line + Dynamic Rebalancing)
1. Basic Settings
- Trading Direction: Mixed Contract Platter (BTC/ETH mainly long, flexible switching between long and short for SOL)
- Position Ratio: BTC 50%, ETH 30%, SOL 20% (Total 100%)
- Leverage Ratio: Unified 5-10 times (balancing returns and liquidation risks, avoiding extreme risks of 200 times high leverage)
- Investment rules: Use only 70% of the principal for the first position, with 30% reserved as margin to guard against fluctuations.
2. Opening Signal (Multi-Indicator Resonance)
- Time frame: mainly 15-minute K-line, 5-minute K-line for double confirmation
- Trend Judgment: 4-hour EMA21 pointing upwards indicates a bullish trend, while pointing downwards indicates a bearish trend.
- Entry Conditions (must be met simultaneously):
1. EMA7 forms a golden cross (bullish) or a death cross (bearish) with EMA21
2. The price breaks through the high and low points of the previous 3 K-lines, and the trading volume increases by 150% compared to the previous one.
3. RSI (14) has not exceeded 70 (bullish) or fallen below 30 (bearish), avoid chasing peaks and selling dips.
- Trading hours: Key operations during Beijing time 10:00-12:00, 20:00-24:00 volatility peak.
3. Take Profit, Stop Loss and Risk Control
- Take Profit Strategy:
- Single transaction take profit: fixed profit-loss ratio of 1:2 (e.g., stop loss 2%, take profit 4%)
- Trailing Stop Loss: After profits reach 50% of the target, move the stop loss up to the opening price +0.5% (lock in the base profit)
- Total Take Profit: Clear all positions immediately when the cumulative return of the strategy reaches 35% (exceeding the upgrade threshold).
- Stop-loss rule:
- Single Stop Loss: ≤2% (set fixed point based on previous low/high at 1.5%)
- Daily stop loss: A loss of 5% triggers a mandatory halt in trading, no further transactions for the day.
- Continuous loss stop-loss: After 3 consecutive losing trades, pause trading for 12 hours
4. Automatic Rebalancing Settings
- Trigger condition: Rebalance according to the threshold. When the holding ratio of any coin deviates from the target by ≥3%, automatic rebalancing occurs (e.g., if SOL has risen too much, sell part of the position to buy BTC).
- Rebalancing taboos: Pause rebalancing 30 minutes before and after the release of major data, and when the funding rate > 0.01% (long position crowding).
3. Key Discipline (Core of Strategy Profitability)
1. Daily trades ≤ 5 times, avoid over-trading to deplete the principal
2. The position of a single coin should never exceed 10% of the total funds, and the holding of SOL should not exceed 5%.
3. Close positions immediately in extreme situations where the market volatility > 15%, and suspend operations.
4. Convert 50% of daily profits into USDT reserves to avoid profit retracement.
Risk Warning
Virtual currency contract trading carries extremely high market risks. The above strategies are based solely on historical data analysis. In actual trading, it is necessary to monitor on-chain large transfers and net inflows to exchanges in real-time. Additionally, one should conduct simulated trading tests for more than 2 weeks before executing in the real market.