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#ETH şu anda dalgalı piyasadan tek yönlü piyasa geçişinin kritik aşamasında
Ana Sonuç
Kısa vadeli (1-4 hafta): Sallantılı piyasa durumu devam ediyor
Uzun ve kısa pozisyon gücü sıkıştı:
Kısa Pozisyon Baskısı: Borsa Rezervi 1851 milyon ETH (yüksek seviyede konsolidasyon), uzun pozisyon tasfiye miktarı 58.18 milyon ETH (+%4.46), üstüne DeFi önde gelen protokollerinin TVL'sinin genel olarak geri çekilmesi (Lido -%1.66, Aave -%0.47).
Boğa Desteği: Fonlama oranı pozitif oldu (0.01377434), staking miktarı 3611 milyon ETH'ye ( +0.02%) düzenli olarak arttı, dev balinaların birikim sinyali belirgin (tek adresli mevduat $21.07 milyar).
Dalgalanma aralığı belirgin：
Güçlü Destek：$3,800 (30 günlük ortalama + kaldıraçlı boğa likidite savunma hattı).
Güçlü direnç: $4,500 (önceki zirve + borsa satış baskısı yoğun bölgesi).
Mevcut Fiyat：$4,284 (bant ortasında).