6.24 BTC Evening Trading Strategy

1. Dual Drivers of Market and Macroeconomics

Today, the BTC continued to fluctuate within a range, repeatedly battling in the intraday short position layout area, with clear characteristics of consolidation. Coupled with the key variable of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's testimony tonight, along with previous policy signals (the Vice Chair's remarks leaning hawkish), the macro environment is likely to continue a "hawkish" tone, tightening expectations of dollar liquidity, which exerts pressure on risk assets like BTC.

Technical support synchronously: The one-hour Bollinger Bands are showing a convergence pattern. After a period of oscillation and convergence, it is often accompanied by a directional choice. Combined with the macro bearish expectations, the logic for short positions in the evening is dominant.

2. Specific Operational Strategies

(1) Aggressive Layout

Entry: Open a light short position in the 1050-1055 range.
Logic: Relying on the upper pressure of the oscillation, making a preemptive bet on the pullback driven by policy bearishness, in line with the proactive approach under the "hawkish" expectations.
Stop Loss: 1062 (Break above the upper range of the intraday fluctuations, need to exit to avoid the risk of false breakout)
Target: Watch 10350 - 10280, speculating on the continuation of the downward movement at the lower edge of the fluctuating range and the negative impact of policies.

(2) Conservative Layout

Entry: Open short near 10650 resistance
Logic: Wait for the price to test the key resistance level (upper bound of the range + psychological round number), confirm the suppression signal before entering the market for a higher win rate.
Stop loss: 10720 (If it breaks 10700, the oscillation pattern will be broken, and the short position will be invalidated)
Target: First target 10450 (midpoint of the oscillation range), second target 10300 (lower support)

3. Risk Warning

1. If Powell's testimony is "more dovish than expected" (such as releasing a clear signal for interest rate cuts), BTC may rebound quickly, and it is necessary to stop loss and reverse position in time;

2. In a volatile market with low fluctuations, strictly control your position (suggested 30% - 50% position), and avoid holding risks.

(Note: The cryptocurrency market is highly risky, strategies are for reference only, trading must be adjusted flexibly according to real-time market conditions, and profits and losses are at your own risk.)