What is Axelar? AXL Token Price Analysis

In today’s increasingly fragmented blockchain world, cross-chain interoperability has become a key infrastructure in the Web3 space. As a core technological representative in this field, the native token AXL of the Axelar network not only serves as the fuel for the protocol’s operation but has also become a potential asset of market interest following the upgrade in its token economics.

##Price Status: Consolidating in a Low Range As of June 19, 2025, the AXL price is hovering around US$0.37 (about HK$2.89), down about 5% in the past 24 hours and down 0.07% over the past month.

The current price has fallen by 41% compared to the historical high of $4.87 set on June 10, 2025, and is in the recent low range.

The technical aspects show that the key support range is between 0.30 - 0.36 USD, the 50-day moving average (0.36 USD) forms short-term resistance, while the 200-day moving average (0.48 USD) remains an important mid-term resistance level.

##Future Predictions: Growth Blueprint in Divergence The market’s price prediction for AXL shows significant divergence, reflecting its stage of technical value versus market sentiment play:

• End of 2025: Conservative estimates fall in the range of $0.75 (Coincodex), while optimistic models like CoinLore project up to $2.33, representing a potential increase of 362%.
• Mid-term (2026-2027): With the increase in cross-chain adoption, some institutions set a target of $1.00 - $1.50. If it breaks through the historical high of $0.60 and stabilizes, it will open up upward space.
• Long-term vision (2030): If Axelar captures over 30% of the cross-chain market share, driven by deflation and ecosystem expansion, the price may hit 10 - 15 USD.

This difference in predictions highlights the uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market and reveals the multiple possibilities for the development of the Axelar ecosystem.

##Value Pivot: Three Engines Driving Valuation Reconstruction The value logic of AXL is based on the dual innovation of technological practicality and economic model.

###Cobalt Upgrade Ignites Deflationary Model The Cobalt upgrade completed in February 2025 introduces a burning mechanism: 98% of the cross-chain transaction fees are automatically destroyed, with only 2% going into the community reward pool. This design pushes AXL into the category of deflationary assets, continuously reducing the circulating supply.

ecological expansion creates rigid demand

New public chains connecting to the Axelar network need to purchase and lock AXL in advance, injecting into the reward pool to incentivize validators. Each added chain results in a substantial consumption of AXL, with demand increasing as the network expands.

Real World Assets (RWA) narrative

Collaborating with Centrifuge to promote the tokenization of real-world assets and bring traditional financial scenarios into the cross-chain ecosystem. This layout is seen as a long-term valuation support point and could open up a market worth trillions of dollars.

##Risk Warning: Hidden Reefs on the Road Ahead Despite the promising outlook, investors must remain vigilant of threefold risks:

• Token unlock pressure: The token unlock window is expected in 2026, and potential selling pressure may impact the market.
• Regulatory Variables: Global stablecoin policies are tightening, which may affect the efficiency of cross-chain asset flow.
• Intensified competition: Rivals like LayerZero and Cosmos are accelerating technological iterations, intensifying the battle for market share.

In addition, the correlation of AXL with Bitcoin price fluctuations is 0.75, and changes in the macro environment may amplify its volatility.

##Market Signals: Capital Preferences and Technical Indicators Recently, the cryptocurrency market has shown the characteristics of “mainstream coins being stable and small coins being active.” Tokens ranked 301-400 by market capitalization have an average increase of 46.85%, indicating a shift of funds towards assets with high narrative.

Although AXL has not entered the top of the gains, its technical indicators show a neutral stance:

• RSI 14 is at 55.36, not in the overbought or oversold zone.
• The volatility remains at 7.85%, at a recent low.

The market has not yet formed a consistent directional expectation, and the oscillating pattern may continue.

##Practical Strategies: Layout Paths for Different Roles

• Short-term traders: Focus on the breakout signals in the range of 0.30 - 0.36 dollars, holding above the 50-day moving average can be considered a technical buying point.
• Long-term holders: Accumulate in batches below $0.30, track quarterly burn data and RWA implementation progress.
• Ecological participants: Become a validation node by staking AXL and earn a share of the network transaction fees, with the current annualized yield approximately 8%-12% (depending on the platform).

##Conclusion: Anchoring Value in the Wave of Interoperability The price game of AXL is essentially a reflection of the value of cross-chain interoperability. With the improvement of the Axelar Virtual Machine (AVM) development tools and the accumulation of $700 million in cross-chain transaction volume, its technological moat is deepening.

Despite facing market fluctuations and competitive pressures in the short term, the triple drivers of the deflation model, the essential need for chain expansion, and the RWA narrative provide unique fundamental support for AXL.

The future of blockchains is multi-chain, and the protocols that connect them will eventually become hubs for the flow of new value.

Author: Blog Team *This content does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or advice. You should always seek independent professional advice before making any investment decisions. *Please note that Gate may restrict or prohibit all or part of its services from restricted areas. Please read the user agreement for more information, link: